Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.532.76safe0.27–2.200.67–2.380.94–4.58safer0.02–2.450.44–2.610.46–5.06
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.348.77safe2.57–6.292.59–6.085.16–12.37safer2.08–6.782.13–6.544.20–13.33
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7211.1724.89safe9.80–17.657.60–14.7317.40–32.38safer8.71–18.746.64–15.6915.35–34.43
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction7.957.3815.33safe5.01–10.894.70–10.069.71–20.96safer4.18–11.723.96–10.808.14–22.52
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.546.10safe1.68–5.450.88–4.192.57–9.64safer1.14–5.990.39–4.681.53–10.67
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.479.16safe2.47–6.902.47–6.474.95–13.38safer1.90–7.481.94–7.013.84–14.48
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction47.9852.52safe41.18–54.7745.74–59.31safer39.52–56.4444.06–60.98
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction363389752safe296–430323–455618–885safer277–448305–473582–921
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction62.7769.72safe58.74–66.8065.40–74.04safer57.45–68.1064.09–75.35
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7015.7132.41safe13.87–19.5412.76–18.6526.63–38.19safer13.11–20.3012.01–19.4025.12–39.70
Offsides
14%
14%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.463.184.64safe0.30–2.622.09–4.282.39–6.89safer0.00–2.921.80–4.561.80–7.48
Yellow cards
43%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.675.43safe1.71–3.811.54–3.803.25–7.61safer1.44–4.081.25–4.092.69–8.17
Red cards
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.220.150.37safe0.06–0.380.00–0.340.02–0.72safer0.00–0.530.00–0.470.00–1.00
GK saves
33%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.235.94safe1.27–4.141.68–4.792.94–8.93safer0.88–4.531.25–5.212.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.45 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.29 2.08–6.78 | 4.34 2.59–6.08 2.13–6.54 | 8.77 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.33 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.72 9.80–17.65 8.71–18.74 | 11.17 7.60–14.73 6.64–15.69 | 24.89 17.40–32.38 15.35–34.43 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 7.95 5.01–10.89 4.18–11.72 | 7.38 4.70–10.06 3.96–10.80 | 15.33 9.71–20.96 8.14–22.52 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.45 1.14–5.99 | 2.54 0.88–4.19 0.39–4.68 | 6.10 2.57–9.64 1.53–10.67 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.47–6.90 1.90–7.48 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.01 | 9.16 4.95–13.38 3.84–14.48 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 47.98 41.18–54.77 39.52–56.44 | 52.52 45.74–59.31 44.06–60.98 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 277–448 | 389 323–455 305–473 | 752 618–885 582–921 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.77 58.74–66.80 57.45–68.10 | 69.72 65.40–74.04 64.09–75.35 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 16.70 13.87–19.54 13.11–20.30 | 15.71 12.76–18.65 12.01–19.40 | 32.41 26.63–38.19 25.12–39.70 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 3.18 2.09–4.28 1.80–4.56 | 4.64 2.39–6.89 1.80–7.48 | 14% 14% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 2.76 1.71–3.81 1.44–4.08 | 2.67 1.54–3.80 1.25–4.09 | 5.43 3.25–7.61 2.69–8.17 | 43% 18% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.22 0.06–0.38 0.00–0.53 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.37 0.02–0.72 0.00–1.00 | 17% 71% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.94 2.94–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 33% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.