Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.492.53safe0.07–2.010.63–2.340.70–4.35safer0.00–2.260.40–2.570.23–4.83
Shots on target
29%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.654.768.41safe1.79–5.513.02–6.504.80–12.01safer1.30–6.002.55–6.973.85–12.97
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1414.1226.27safe8.22–16.0710.56–17.6918.78–33.75safer7.13–17.169.60–18.6416.73–35.81
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction6.668.2214.87safe3.72–9.605.53–10.909.25–20.50safer2.89–10.434.80–11.637.68–22.06
Blocked shots
23%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.896.47safe0.69–4.462.24–5.552.93–10.00safer0.15–5.001.75–6.041.90–11.04
Corners
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.889.20safe2.11–6.532.88–6.884.99–13.41safer1.53–7.112.35–7.413.88–14.52
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.8655.20safe38.07–51.6548.42–61.99safer36.40–53.3246.75–63.66
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction354407761safe287–421341–474627–895safer268–439323–491592–930
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction60.8170.40safe56.78–64.8466.07–74.72safer55.49–66.1364.76–76.03
Fouls
28%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4218.3033.72safe12.58–18.2615.35–21.2427.93–39.50safer11.82–19.0114.61–21.9926.43–41.00
Offsides
67%
16%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.761.364.13safe1.60–3.920.27–2.461.87–6.38safer1.30–4.220.00–2.751.28–6.97
Yellow cards
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.682.615.29safe1.63–3.731.48–3.743.11–7.47safer1.37–4.001.19–4.032.56–8.03
Red cards
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.180.30safe0.00–0.280.00–0.360.00–0.65safer0.00–0.430.00–0.490.00–0.93
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.555.92safe1.94–4.810.99–4.102.93–8.91safer1.55–5.200.57–4.532.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.49 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.53 0.70–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 27% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.79–5.51 1.30–6.00 | 4.76 3.02–6.50 2.55–6.97 | 8.41 4.80–12.01 3.85–12.97 | 29% 13% 58% |
| Total shots | 12.14 8.22–16.07 7.13–17.16 | 14.12 10.56–17.69 9.60–18.64 | 26.27 18.78–33.75 16.73–35.81 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 6.66 3.72–9.60 2.89–10.43 | 8.22 5.53–10.90 4.80–11.63 | 14.87 9.25–20.50 7.68–22.06 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 2.57 0.69–4.46 0.15–5.00 | 3.89 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 6.47 2.93–10.00 1.90–11.04 | 23% 14% 62% |
| Corners | 4.32 2.11–6.53 1.53–7.11 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.41 | 9.20 4.99–13.41 3.88–14.52 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Possession % | 44.86 38.07–51.65 36.40–53.32 | 55.20 48.42–61.99 46.75–63.66 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 354 287–421 268–439 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 761 627–895 592–930 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.81 56.78–64.84 55.49–66.13 | 70.40 66.07–74.72 64.76–76.03 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 15.42 12.58–18.26 11.82–19.01 | 18.30 15.35–21.24 14.61–21.99 | 33.72 27.93–39.50 26.43–41.00 | 28% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.76 1.60–3.92 1.30–4.22 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 4.13 1.87–6.38 1.28–6.97 | 67% 16% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 2.68 1.63–3.73 1.37–4.00 | 2.61 1.48–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 5.29 3.11–7.47 2.56–8.03 | 42% 18% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% 14% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.55 0.99–4.10 0.57–4.53 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.12–9.73 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+