Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
24%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.750.942.68safe0.78–2.710.08–1.790.86–4.51safer0.53–2.970.00–2.020.38–4.99
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.573.258.83safe3.71–7.441.51–5.005.22–12.43safer3.22–7.931.05–5.464.27–13.39
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.349.7926.13safe12.41–20.266.23–13.3618.64–33.62safer11.32–21.355.27–14.3116.59–35.67
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.206.2116.40safe7.25–13.143.53–8.8910.78–22.03safer6.42–13.972.79–9.629.21–23.59
Blocked shots
71%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.112.196.31safe2.23–6.000.54–3.852.77–9.84safer1.69–6.540.05–4.341.74–10.88
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.339.75safe4.21–8.631.33–5.335.53–13.96safer3.63–9.210.79–5.864.43–15.07
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.4540.05safe53.66–67.2433.26–46.83safer51.99–68.9131.59–48.50
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction483319802safe416–550252–385668–935safer397–568235–403632–971
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction75.1967.31safe71.16–79.2262.98–71.63safer69.86–80.5161.68–72.94
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5213.7729.29safe12.68–18.3610.83–16.7223.51–35.07safer11.92–19.1110.08–17.4622.00–36.58
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.083.87safe0.63–2.950.99–3.181.62–6.13safer0.33–3.250.70–3.461.03–6.71
Yellow cards
31%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.855.11safe1.21–3.311.72–3.982.93–7.29safer0.95–3.581.43–4.272.37–7.84
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.130.28safe0.00–0.310.00–0.310.00–0.62safer0.00–0.460.00–0.450.00–0.91
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.585.84safe0.83–3.702.02–5.132.85–8.83safer0.44–4.091.60–5.562.04–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.71 0.53–2.97 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.71–7.44 3.22–7.93 | 3.25 1.51–5.00 1.05–5.46 | 8.83 5.22–12.43 4.27–13.39 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.34 12.41–20.26 11.32–21.35 | 9.79 6.23–13.36 5.27–14.31 | 26.13 18.64–33.62 16.59–35.67 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.20 7.25–13.14 6.42–13.97 | 6.21 3.53–8.89 2.79–9.62 | 16.40 10.78–22.03 9.21–23.59 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 2.19 0.54–3.85 0.05–4.34 | 6.31 2.77–9.84 1.74–10.88 | 71% 16% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.63 3.63–9.21 | 3.33 1.33–5.33 0.79–5.86 | 9.75 5.53–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 80% |
| Possession % | 60.45 53.66–67.24 51.99–68.91 | 40.05 33.26–46.83 31.59–48.50 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 483 416–550 397–568 | 319 252–385 235–403 | 802 668–935 632–971 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.19 71.16–79.22 69.86–80.51 | 67.31 62.98–71.63 61.68–72.94 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 15.52 12.68–18.36 11.92–19.11 | 13.77 10.83–16.72 10.08–17.46 | 29.29 23.51–35.07 22.00–36.58 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.08 0.99–3.18 0.70–3.46 | 3.87 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.71 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.95–3.58 | 2.85 1.72–3.98 1.43–4.27 | 5.11 2.93–7.29 2.37–7.84 | 31% 18% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.58 2.02–5.13 1.60–5.56 | 5.84 2.85–8.83 2.04–9.64 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.