Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
30%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.002.13safe0.16–2.090.15–1.860.31–3.95safer0.00–2.340.00–2.090.00–4.43
Shots on target
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.287.09safe1.95–5.681.53–5.023.49–10.70safer1.46–6.171.07–5.492.53–11.65
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7611.1522.92safe7.84–15.697.59–14.7215.43–30.40safer6.74–16.786.63–15.6813.38–32.45
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction7.366.3413.70safe4.42–10.303.66–9.028.08–19.32safer3.59–11.132.92–9.766.51–20.89
Blocked shots
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.985.81safe0.95–4.711.32–4.632.27–9.34safer0.41–5.260.83–5.121.24–10.38
Corners
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.008.86safe2.65–7.082.00–6.004.65–13.08safer2.08–7.651.46–6.533.54–14.18
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.4452.11safe40.65–54.2345.32–58.89safer38.98–55.9043.65–60.56
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction404415819safe337–471348–481685–952safer319–490331–499649–988
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction67.2769.79safe63.25–71.3065.46–74.11safer61.95–72.6064.15–75.42
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3916.5731.96safe12.55–18.2313.62–19.5126.17–37.74safer11.80–18.9812.87–20.2624.67–39.24
Offsides
46%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.844.03safe1.02–3.340.75–2.941.77–6.28safer0.72–3.640.46–3.221.18–6.87
Yellow cards
37%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.382.584.96safe1.33–3.431.45–3.712.78–7.14safer1.06–3.701.16–4.002.23–7.70
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.320.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.89
GK saves
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.765.19safe1.00–3.871.20–4.312.20–8.19safer0.61–4.260.77–4.741.39–9.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.16–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.13 0.31–3.95 0.00–4.43 | 38% 30% 32% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.95–5.68 1.46–6.17 | 3.28 1.53–5.02 1.07–5.49 | 7.09 3.49–10.70 2.53–11.65 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Total shots | 11.76 7.84–15.69 6.74–16.78 | 11.15 7.59–14.72 6.63–15.68 | 22.92 15.43–30.40 13.38–32.45 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.36 4.42–10.30 3.59–11.13 | 6.34 3.66–9.02 2.92–9.76 | 13.70 8.08–19.32 6.51–20.89 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 2.83 0.95–4.71 0.41–5.26 | 2.98 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 5.81 2.27–9.34 1.24–10.38 | 39% 17% 44% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.65–7.08 2.08–7.65 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.46–6.53 | 8.86 4.65–13.08 3.54–14.18 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Possession % | 47.44 40.65–54.23 38.98–55.90 | 52.11 45.32–58.89 43.65–60.56 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–490 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 819 685–952 649–988 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.27 63.25–71.30 61.95–72.60 | 69.79 65.46–74.11 64.15–75.42 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 15.39 12.55–18.23 11.80–18.98 | 16.57 13.62–19.51 12.87–20.26 | 31.96 26.17–37.74 24.67–39.24 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.64 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 4.03 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.87 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.38 1.33–3.43 1.06–3.70 | 2.58 1.45–3.71 1.16–4.00 | 4.96 2.78–7.14 2.23–7.70 | 37% 18% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.74 | 5.19 2.20–8.19 1.39–9.00 | 36% 18% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+