Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.800.992.79safe0.84–2.770.13–1.840.97–4.61safer0.58–3.020.00–2.070.49–5.09
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.358.51safe3.29–7.021.61–5.104.91–12.12safer2.81–7.511.15–5.563.95–13.07
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.649.4125.04safe11.71–19.565.84–12.9717.56–32.53safer10.62–20.654.88–13.9315.51–34.58
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.475.7716.24safe7.53–13.423.08–8.4510.62–21.86safer6.70–14.252.35–9.189.05–23.43
Blocked shots
63%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.072.736.81safe2.19–5.961.08–4.383.27–10.34safer1.65–6.500.59–4.882.24–11.38
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.639.60safe3.76–8.191.63–5.635.39–13.81safer3.19–8.761.09–6.164.28–14.92
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.4544.98safe49.66–63.2438.20–51.77safer47.99–64.9136.52–53.44
Passes
77%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction440349789safe373–507283–415655–922safer354–525265–433619–958
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction70.5968.99safe66.56–74.6264.67–73.31safer65.27–75.9163.36–74.62
Fouls
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6715.3632.04safe13.84–19.5112.42–18.3126.25–37.82safer13.08–20.2711.67–19.0624.75–39.32
Offsides
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.213.03safe0.66–2.980.12–2.300.78–5.28safer0.36–3.280.00–2.590.19–5.87
Yellow cards
32%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.704.87safe1.12–3.221.57–3.832.70–7.05safer0.86–3.491.28–4.122.14–7.61
Red cards
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.160.26safe0.00–0.260.00–0.350.00–0.61safer0.00–0.410.00–0.480.00–0.89
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.323.205.52safe0.88–3.761.65–4.762.53–8.52safer0.50–4.141.22–5.181.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.84–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 57% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.29–7.02 2.81–7.51 | 3.35 1.61–5.10 1.15–5.56 | 8.51 4.91–12.12 3.95–13.07 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.64 11.71–19.56 10.62–20.65 | 9.41 5.84–12.97 4.88–13.93 | 25.04 17.56–32.53 15.51–34.58 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.47 7.53–13.42 6.70–14.25 | 5.77 3.08–8.45 2.35–9.18 | 16.24 10.62–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.07 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 2.73 1.08–4.38 0.59–4.88 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 63% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.19 3.19–8.76 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.09–6.16 | 9.60 5.39–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.45 49.66–63.24 47.99–64.91 | 44.98 38.20–51.77 36.52–53.44 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 354–525 | 349 283–415 265–433 | 789 655–922 619–958 | 77% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.59 66.56–74.62 65.27–75.91 | 68.99 64.67–73.31 63.36–74.62 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 16.67 13.84–19.51 13.08–20.27 | 15.36 12.42–18.31 11.67–19.06 | 32.04 26.25–37.82 24.75–39.32 | 56% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.21 0.12–2.30 0.00–2.59 | 3.03 0.78–5.28 0.19–5.87 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 2.70 1.57–3.83 1.28–4.12 | 4.87 2.70–7.05 2.14–7.61 | 32% 18% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.76 0.50–4.14 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 5.52 2.53–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+