Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.062.79safe0.76–2.700.21–1.920.97–4.61safer0.51–2.950.00–2.140.49–5.09
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.543.869.40safe3.68–7.402.12–5.605.80–13.01safer3.19–7.891.65–6.074.84–13.96
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3211.2926.61safe11.39–19.247.73–14.8619.12–34.10safer10.30–20.336.77–15.8217.07–36.15
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.777.4318.20safe7.83–13.714.75–10.1112.57–23.82safer7.00–14.544.01–10.8511.01–25.39
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.287.10safe1.94–5.701.62–4.933.56–10.63safer1.39–6.241.13–5.422.53–11.67
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.334.189.51safe3.12–7.542.18–6.185.30–13.73safer2.54–8.121.65–6.724.19–14.84
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.5946.00safe47.80–61.3839.21–52.78safer46.13–63.0537.54–54.45
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction448382830safe381–515315–448696–964safer363–533298–466660–999
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction74.7472.88safe70.71–78.7768.56–77.21safer69.42–80.0667.25–78.52
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5016.1928.70safe9.66–15.3413.25–19.1422.91–34.48safer8.91–16.1012.50–19.8921.41–35.98
Offsides
69%
16%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.871.344.22safe1.71–4.030.25–2.441.96–6.47safer1.41–4.340.00–2.731.38–7.06
Yellow cards
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.065.57safe1.46–3.561.93–4.183.39–7.75safer1.20–3.831.64–4.482.83–8.30
Red cards
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.160.27safe0.00–0.280.00–0.340.00–0.62safer0.00–0.430.00–0.480.00–0.90
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.676.35safe1.25–4.122.11–5.223.36–9.34safer0.86–4.511.69–5.652.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.14 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.40 3.19–7.89 | 3.86 2.12–5.60 1.65–6.07 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.32 11.39–19.24 10.30–20.33 | 11.29 7.73–14.86 6.77–15.82 | 26.61 19.12–34.10 17.07–36.15 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.77 7.83–13.71 7.00–14.54 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.85 | 18.20 12.57–23.82 11.01–25.39 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 3.28 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.33 3.12–7.54 2.54–8.12 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.72 | 9.51 5.30–13.73 4.19–14.84 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 54.59 47.80–61.38 46.13–63.05 | 46.00 39.21–52.78 37.54–54.45 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 363–533 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 830 696–964 660–999 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.74 70.71–78.77 69.42–80.06 | 72.88 68.56–77.21 67.25–78.52 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.50 9.66–15.34 8.91–16.10 | 16.19 13.25–19.14 12.50–19.89 | 28.70 22.91–34.48 21.41–35.98 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 2.87 1.71–4.03 1.41–4.34 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 4.22 1.96–6.47 1.38–7.06 | 69% 16% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 2.51 1.46–3.56 1.20–3.83 | 3.06 1.93–4.18 1.64–4.48 | 5.57 3.39–7.75 2.83–8.30 | 33% 17% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.55–10.16 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.