Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.022.78safe0.79–2.730.16–1.870.96–4.60safer0.54–2.980.00–2.100.48–5.08
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.273.418.68safe3.41–7.131.67–5.165.08–12.29safer2.92–7.621.20–5.624.12–13.24
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.839.8125.63safe11.90–19.756.24–13.3718.15–33.12safer10.81–20.845.28–14.3316.10–35.17
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.916.9916.90safe6.97–12.854.31–9.6711.27–22.52safer6.14–13.683.57–10.419.71–24.09
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.386.80safe2.54–6.300.73–4.033.26–10.33safer1.99–6.840.23–4.522.23–11.37
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.159.75safe3.38–7.812.15–6.155.53–13.96safer2.81–8.381.62–6.694.43–15.07
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.7845.12safe47.99–61.5738.33–51.90safer46.32–63.2436.66–53.57
Passes
74%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction427348775safe360–494282–415642–909safer342–513264–432606–945
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction68.3767.54safe64.34–72.4063.22–71.87safer63.05–73.6961.91–73.18
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6316.1130.74safe11.79–17.4713.16–19.0524.95–36.52safer11.03–18.2212.42–19.8023.45–38.02
Offsides
35%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.683.23safe0.38–2.700.59–2.770.97–5.48safer0.08–3.010.30–3.060.38–6.07
Yellow cards
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.412.434.84safe1.36–3.461.30–3.562.66–7.02safer1.10–3.731.01–3.852.10–7.57
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.140.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.505.89safe0.95–3.821.95–5.062.90–8.88safer0.56–4.211.52–5.482.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.27 3.41–7.13 2.92–7.62 | 3.41 1.67–5.16 1.20–5.62 | 8.68 5.08–12.29 4.12–13.24 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.83 11.90–19.75 10.81–20.84 | 9.81 6.24–13.37 5.28–14.33 | 25.63 18.15–33.12 16.10–35.17 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 9.91 6.97–12.85 6.14–13.68 | 6.99 4.31–9.67 3.57–10.41 | 16.90 11.27–22.52 9.71–24.09 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.54–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.38 0.73–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 6.80 3.26–10.33 2.23–11.37 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.62–6.69 | 9.75 5.53–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.78 47.99–61.57 46.32–63.24 | 45.12 38.33–51.90 36.66–53.57 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 427 360–494 342–513 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 775 642–909 606–945 | 74% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.37 64.34–72.40 63.05–73.69 | 67.54 63.22–71.87 61.91–73.18 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 14.63 11.79–17.47 11.03–18.22 | 16.11 13.16–19.05 12.42–19.80 | 30.74 24.95–36.52 23.45–38.02 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.01 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 35% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.41 1.36–3.46 1.10–3.73 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.84 2.66–7.02 2.10–7.57 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.50 1.95–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+