Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.222.47safe0.28–2.220.37–2.080.65–4.29safer0.03–2.470.14–2.310.17–4.77
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.104.008.09safe2.23–5.962.25–5.744.49–11.70safer1.74–6.451.79–6.203.53–12.65
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8711.6524.52safe8.94–16.798.09–15.2117.03–32.01safer7.85–17.897.13–16.1714.98–34.06
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction7.897.5215.41safe4.95–10.834.84–10.209.78–21.03safer4.12–11.664.10–10.948.22–22.60
Blocked shots
53%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.976.66safe1.81–5.581.31–4.623.13–10.20safer1.27–6.120.82–5.112.09–11.24
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.914.569.47safe2.70–7.132.56–6.565.26–13.69safer2.13–7.702.03–7.094.15–14.79
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.8748.31safe46.08–59.6641.52–55.09safer44.41–61.3339.85–56.76
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction425382807safe358–492315–448673–940safer340–510298–466637–976
Pass accuracy %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction67.2770.04safe63.24–71.3065.72–74.37safer61.95–72.5964.41–75.68
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8116.6532.46safe12.97–18.6413.71–19.5926.67–38.24safer12.21–19.4012.96–20.3425.17–39.74
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.633.42safe0.63–2.950.53–2.721.16–5.67safer0.33–3.250.24–3.010.57–6.26
Yellow cards
38%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.392.544.92safe1.34–3.441.41–3.672.75–7.10safer1.07–3.701.12–3.962.19–7.66
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.815.47safe1.22–4.101.25–4.362.47–8.46safer0.84–4.480.83–4.791.66–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.47 0.65–4.29 0.17–4.77 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.23–5.96 1.74–6.45 | 4.00 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 8.09 4.49–11.70 3.53–12.65 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.87 8.94–16.79 7.85–17.89 | 11.65 8.09–15.21 7.13–16.17 | 24.52 17.03–32.01 14.98–34.06 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 7.89 4.95–10.83 4.12–11.66 | 7.52 4.84–10.20 4.10–10.94 | 15.41 9.78–21.03 8.22–22.60 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.81–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 2.97 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 6.66 3.13–10.20 2.09–11.24 | 53% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 4.91 2.70–7.13 2.13–7.70 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.09 | 9.47 5.26–13.69 4.15–14.79 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 52.87 46.08–59.66 44.41–61.33 | 48.31 41.52–55.09 39.85–56.76 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 340–510 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 807 673–940 637–976 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.27 63.24–71.30 61.95–72.59 | 70.04 65.72–74.37 64.41–75.68 | — | 34% 62% |
| Fouls | 15.81 12.97–18.64 12.21–19.40 | 16.65 13.71–19.59 12.96–20.34 | 32.46 26.67–38.24 25.17–39.74 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.39 1.34–3.44 1.07–3.70 | 2.54 1.41–3.67 1.12–3.96 | 4.92 2.75–7.10 2.19–7.66 | 38% 18% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.10 0.84–4.48 | 2.81 1.25–4.36 0.83–4.79 | 5.47 2.47–8.46 1.66–9.27 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.