Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.082.61safe0.56–2.490.23–1.940.78–4.43safer0.30–2.740.00–2.170.30–4.91
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.443.648.09safe2.58–6.311.90–5.384.48–11.69safer2.09–6.801.43–5.853.52–12.65
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9411.1724.11safe9.02–16.877.61–14.7316.63–31.60safer7.93–17.966.65–15.6914.57–33.65
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.917.4816.39safe5.97–11.864.79–10.1610.77–22.01safer5.14–12.694.06–10.899.20–23.58
Blocked shots
40%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.116.12safe1.13–4.891.46–4.762.58–9.65safer0.58–5.430.96–5.251.55–10.69
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.009.27safe3.06–7.492.00–6.005.06–13.49safer2.49–8.061.47–6.533.95–14.59
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction50.6048.74safe43.81–57.3941.96–55.53safer42.14–59.0640.29–57.20
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction413376789safe346–480310–443656–923safer328–498292–460620–959
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction66.4368.66safe62.40–70.4664.34–72.99safer61.11–71.7563.03–74.29
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8114.2130.02safe12.97–18.6511.26–17.1524.24–35.80safer12.22–19.4010.51–17.9022.73–37.30
Offsides
71%
15%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.981.354.33safe1.82–4.140.25–2.442.07–6.58safer1.52–4.440.00–2.731.48–7.17
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.534.85safe1.27–3.371.40–3.662.67–7.03safer1.01–3.641.11–3.952.12–7.59
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.140.26safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.61safer0.00–0.430.00–0.460.00–0.89
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.015.50safe1.06–3.931.45–4.562.51–8.49safer0.67–4.321.03–4.991.70–9.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.56–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.61 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.58–6.31 2.09–6.80 | 3.64 1.90–5.38 1.43–5.85 | 8.09 4.48–11.69 3.52–12.65 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 12.94 9.02–16.87 7.93–17.96 | 11.17 7.61–14.73 6.65–15.69 | 24.11 16.63–31.60 14.57–33.65 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.91 5.97–11.86 5.14–12.69 | 7.48 4.79–10.16 4.06–10.89 | 16.39 10.77–22.01 9.20–23.58 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.01 1.13–4.89 0.58–5.43 | 3.11 1.46–4.76 0.96–5.25 | 6.12 2.58–9.65 1.55–10.69 | 40% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.06–7.49 2.49–8.06 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.47–6.53 | 9.27 5.06–13.49 3.95–14.59 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 50.60 43.81–57.39 42.14–59.06 | 48.74 41.96–55.53 40.29–57.20 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 413 346–480 328–498 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 789 656–923 620–959 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.43 62.40–70.46 61.11–71.75 | 68.66 64.34–72.99 63.03–74.29 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 15.81 12.97–18.65 12.22–19.40 | 14.21 11.26–17.15 10.51–17.90 | 30.02 24.24–35.80 22.73–37.30 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.98 1.82–4.14 1.52–4.44 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 4.33 2.07–6.58 1.48–7.17 | 71% 15% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.01–3.64 | 2.53 1.40–3.66 1.11–3.95 | 4.85 2.67–7.03 2.12–7.59 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.01 1.45–4.56 1.03–4.99 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.31 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.