Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction0.832.273.09safe0.00–1.791.41–3.121.27–4.91safer0.00–2.051.18–3.350.79–5.39
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.335.979.30safe1.47–5.194.23–7.715.69–12.90safer0.98–5.683.76–8.184.74–13.86
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2116.1426.35safe6.28–14.1312.58–19.7018.86–33.83safer5.19–15.2211.62–20.6616.81–35.89
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6111.2616.87safe2.66–8.558.58–13.9411.24–22.49safer1.83–9.387.84–14.689.68–24.06
Blocked shots
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.636.30safe0.79–4.551.98–5.282.77–9.84safer0.24–5.101.49–5.781.73–10.87
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.555.969.52safe1.34–5.773.96–7.965.30–13.73safer0.77–6.343.43–8.504.20–14.84
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.6962.75safe30.90–44.4855.96–69.53safer29.23–46.1554.29–71.20
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction317514831safe250–384447–580697–964safer231–402430–598661–1000
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction65.7079.63safe61.67–69.7375.31–83.96safer60.38–71.0274.00–85.27
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9415.0431.98safe14.11–19.7812.09–17.9826.20–37.76safer13.35–20.5411.34–18.7324.70–39.27
Offsides
16%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.954.36safe0.24–2.571.86–4.042.10–6.61safer0.00–2.871.57–4.331.51–7.20
Yellow cards
48%
18%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.732.335.06safe1.68–3.781.20–3.462.88–7.24safer1.42–4.050.91–3.752.33–7.80
Red cards
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.130.32safe0.03–0.350.00–0.320.00–0.67safer0.00–0.500.00–0.450.00–0.95
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.406.23safe2.40–5.270.84–3.953.24–9.22safer2.01–5.660.42–4.382.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.83 0.00–1.79 0.00–2.05 | 2.27 1.41–3.12 1.18–3.35 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 18% 70% |
| Shots on target | 3.33 1.47–5.19 0.98–5.68 | 5.97 4.23–7.71 3.76–8.18 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 10.21 6.28–14.13 5.19–15.22 | 16.14 12.58–19.70 11.62–20.66 | 26.35 18.86–33.83 16.81–35.89 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 5.61 2.66–8.55 1.83–9.38 | 11.26 8.58–13.94 7.84–14.68 | 16.87 11.24–22.49 9.68–24.06 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.67 0.79–4.55 0.24–5.10 | 3.63 1.98–5.28 1.49–5.78 | 6.30 2.77–9.84 1.73–10.87 | 28% 15% 57% |
| Corners | 3.55 1.34–5.77 0.77–6.34 | 5.96 3.96–7.96 3.43–8.50 | 9.52 5.30–13.73 4.20–14.84 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 37.69 30.90–44.48 29.23–46.15 | 62.75 55.96–69.53 54.29–71.20 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 317 250–384 231–402 | 514 447–580 430–598 | 831 697–964 661–1000 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.70 61.67–69.73 60.38–71.02 | 79.63 75.31–83.96 74.00–85.27 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 16.94 14.11–19.78 13.35–20.54 | 15.04 12.09–17.98 11.34–18.73 | 31.98 26.20–37.76 24.70–39.27 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 2.95 1.86–4.04 1.57–4.33 | 4.36 2.10–6.61 1.51–7.20 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 2.73 1.68–3.78 1.42–4.05 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 5.06 2.88–7.24 2.33–7.80 | 48% 18% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 15% 74% |
| GK saves | 3.83 2.40–5.27 2.01–5.66 | 2.40 0.84–3.95 0.42–4.38 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.