Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.372.54safe0.20–2.140.52–2.230.72–4.37safer0.00–2.390.29–2.460.24–4.85
Shots on target
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.418.15safe1.88–5.602.67–6.154.54–11.75safer1.39–6.092.20–6.623.59–12.71
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4812.5625.05safe8.56–16.419.00–16.1317.56–32.53safer7.47–17.508.04–17.0915.51–34.58
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.547.7315.27safe4.60–10.485.05–10.419.65–20.90safer3.77–11.314.31–11.158.08–22.46
Blocked shots
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.196.16safe1.09–4.861.53–4.842.62–9.69safer0.55–5.401.04–5.331.59–10.73
Corners
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.829.29safe2.26–6.692.82–6.825.08–13.51safer1.69–7.262.29–7.353.97–14.62
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.4654.39safe39.67–53.2547.60–61.17safer38.00–54.9245.93–62.84
Passes
31%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction359417776safe292–426351–484643–910safer274–445333–501607–946
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction63.4671.08safe59.43–67.4966.75–75.40safer58.14–68.7865.44–76.71
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8416.6533.49safe14.00–19.6813.70–19.5927.71–39.27safer13.25–20.4412.95–20.3426.20–40.78
Offsides
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.233.08safe0.70–3.020.13–2.320.83–5.34safer0.40–3.320.00–2.610.24–5.93
Yellow cards
40%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.522.575.09safe1.47–3.571.44–3.702.91–7.27safer1.20–3.841.15–3.992.35–7.82
Red cards
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.170.29safe0.00–0.280.00–0.350.00–0.64safer0.00–0.430.00–0.490.00–0.92
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.585.61safe1.59–4.461.03–4.142.61–8.60safer1.20–4.850.60–4.561.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.46 | 2.54 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.88–5.60 1.39–6.09 | 4.41 2.67–6.15 2.20–6.62 | 8.15 4.54–11.75 3.59–12.71 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.48 8.56–16.41 7.47–17.50 | 12.56 9.00–16.13 8.04–17.09 | 25.05 17.56–32.53 15.51–34.58 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.54 4.60–10.48 3.77–11.31 | 7.73 5.05–10.41 4.31–11.15 | 15.27 9.65–20.90 8.08–22.46 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.86 0.55–5.40 | 3.19 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 6.16 2.62–9.69 1.59–10.73 | 38% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 4.48 2.26–6.69 1.69–7.26 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.35 | 9.29 5.08–13.51 3.97–14.62 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Possession % | 46.46 39.67–53.25 38.00–54.92 | 54.39 47.60–61.17 45.93–62.84 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 359 292–426 274–445 | 417 351–484 333–501 | 776 643–910 607–946 | 31% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.46 59.43–67.49 58.14–68.78 | 71.08 66.75–75.40 65.44–76.71 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 16.84 14.00–19.68 13.25–20.44 | 16.65 13.70–19.59 12.95–20.34 | 33.49 27.71–39.27 26.20–40.78 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.23 0.13–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 3.08 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.52 1.47–3.57 1.20–3.84 | 2.57 1.44–3.70 1.15–3.99 | 5.09 2.91–7.27 2.35–7.82 | 40% 18% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% 14% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 2.58 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 5.61 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.