Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.340.873.22safe1.38–3.310.02–1.731.39–5.04safer1.12–3.560.00–1.950.91–5.52
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.623.249.86safe4.76–8.481.50–4.996.26–13.47safer4.27–8.971.04–5.455.30–14.42
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.329.4127.73safe14.40–22.255.85–12.9720.24–35.22safer13.31–23.344.89–13.9318.19–37.27
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.685.2916.96safe8.74–14.622.60–7.9711.34–22.59safer7.91–15.451.87–8.709.77–24.15
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.467.01safe2.67–6.430.80–4.113.47–10.54safer2.13–6.980.31–4.602.44–11.58
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.872.979.84safe4.66–9.080.97–4.975.62–14.05safer4.08–9.660.43–5.504.52–15.16
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.1736.49safe56.38–69.9629.71–43.28safer54.71–71.6328.04–44.95
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction566313879safe498–633247–380745–1012safer480–651229–397709–1048
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction76.0967.76safe72.06–80.1263.44–72.08safer70.77–81.4162.13–73.39
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0214.0229.04safe12.18–17.8611.07–16.9623.25–34.82safer11.42–18.6110.32–17.7121.75–36.32
Offsides
53%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.373.43safe0.90–3.220.28–2.461.18–5.68safer0.60–3.520.00–2.750.59–6.27
Yellow cards
29%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.414.23safe0.77–2.871.28–3.542.05–6.41safer0.51–3.140.99–3.831.50–6.97
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.064.056.11safe0.62–3.492.50–5.613.12–9.10safer0.23–3.882.07–6.032.31–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.34 1.38–3.31 1.12–3.56 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.95 | 3.22 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 70% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.62 4.76–8.48 4.27–8.97 | 3.24 1.50–4.99 1.04–5.45 | 9.86 6.26–13.47 5.30–14.42 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.32 14.40–22.25 13.31–23.34 | 9.41 5.85–12.97 4.89–13.93 | 27.73 20.24–35.22 18.19–37.27 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.68 8.74–14.62 7.91–15.45 | 5.29 2.60–7.97 1.87–8.70 | 16.96 11.34–22.59 9.77–24.15 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.43 2.13–6.98 | 2.46 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 7.01 3.47–10.54 2.44–11.58 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.87 4.66–9.08 4.08–9.66 | 2.97 0.97–4.97 0.43–5.50 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 86% |
| Possession % | 63.17 56.38–69.96 54.71–71.63 | 36.49 29.71–43.28 28.04–44.95 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 566 498–633 480–651 | 313 247–380 229–397 | 879 745–1012 709–1048 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.09 72.06–80.12 70.77–81.41 | 67.76 63.44–72.08 62.13–73.39 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 15.02 12.18–17.86 11.42–18.61 | 14.02 11.07–16.96 10.32–17.71 | 29.04 23.25–34.82 21.75–36.32 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 53% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 29% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.62–3.49 0.23–3.88 | 4.05 2.50–5.61 2.07–6.03 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.91 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.