Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.040.922.96safe1.07–3.010.07–1.781.14–4.78safer0.82–3.260.00–2.000.66–5.26
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.102.959.05safe4.24–7.971.21–4.695.45–12.66safer3.75–8.460.74–5.164.49–13.61
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.869.7027.55safe13.93–21.786.13–13.2620.07–35.04safer12.84–22.875.17–14.2218.01–37.09
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.215.5916.80safe8.27–14.152.91–8.2711.18–22.42safer7.44–14.982.17–9.019.61–23.99
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.712.597.30safe2.83–6.600.94–4.243.77–10.84safer2.29–7.140.45–4.742.73–11.88
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.623.299.92safe4.41–8.831.29–5.295.70–14.13safer3.83–9.410.76–5.834.60–15.24
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.2943.60safe49.50–63.0836.81–50.38safer47.83–64.7535.14–52.05
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction436341777safe369–503274–407643–911safer351–521257–425608–946
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction70.2968.17safe66.26–74.3263.85–72.49safer64.97–75.6162.54–73.80
Fouls
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4215.8332.25safe13.58–19.2612.89–18.7726.47–38.03safer12.83–20.0212.14–19.5224.96–39.54
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.603.04safe0.27–2.590.51–2.700.78–5.29safer0.00–2.890.22–2.990.19–5.88
Yellow cards
33%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.604.78safe1.13–3.231.47–3.732.60–6.96safer0.86–3.501.18–4.022.04–7.52
Red cards
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.190.28safe0.00–0.260.00–0.370.00–0.63safer0.00–0.410.00–0.500.00–0.91
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.164.006.16safe0.73–3.602.44–5.563.17–9.16safer0.34–3.992.02–5.982.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.00 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.10 4.24–7.97 3.75–8.46 | 2.95 1.21–4.69 0.74–5.16 | 9.05 5.45–12.66 4.49–13.61 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.86 13.93–21.78 12.84–22.87 | 9.70 6.13–13.26 5.17–14.22 | 27.55 20.07–35.04 18.01–37.09 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.21 8.27–14.15 7.44–14.98 | 5.59 2.91–8.27 2.17–9.01 | 16.80 11.18–22.42 9.61–23.99 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.83–6.60 2.29–7.14 | 2.59 0.94–4.24 0.45–4.74 | 7.30 3.77–10.84 2.73–11.88 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.62 4.41–8.83 3.83–9.41 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.76–5.83 | 9.92 5.70–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 82% |
| Possession % | 56.29 49.50–63.08 47.83–64.75 | 43.60 36.81–50.38 35.14–52.05 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 341 274–407 257–425 | 777 643–911 608–946 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.29 66.26–74.32 64.97–75.61 | 68.17 63.85–72.49 62.54–73.80 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 16.42 13.58–19.26 12.83–20.02 | 15.83 12.89–18.77 12.14–19.52 | 32.25 26.47–38.03 24.96–39.54 | 51% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.60 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.04 0.78–5.29 0.19–5.88 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.50 | 2.60 1.47–3.73 1.18–4.02 | 4.78 2.60–6.96 2.04–7.52 | 33% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.73–3.60 0.34–3.99 | 4.00 2.44–5.56 2.02–5.98 | 6.16 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.