Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.663.02safe0.40–2.330.80–2.511.20–4.84safer0.14–2.580.58–2.740.72–5.32
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.549.04safe2.64–6.362.80–6.285.43–12.64safer2.15–6.852.33–6.754.48–13.60
Total shots
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6813.0025.68safe8.76–16.619.44–16.5618.19–33.17safer7.67–17.708.48–17.5216.14–35.22
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.668.4116.07safe4.72–10.615.73–11.0910.45–21.70safer3.89–11.434.99–11.838.88–23.26
Blocked shots
40%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.396.61safe1.35–5.111.73–5.043.08–10.15safer0.80–5.651.24–5.532.04–11.18
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.989.57safe2.38–6.802.98–6.985.36–13.78safer1.80–7.382.45–7.524.25–14.89
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction44.6554.42safe37.86–51.4447.63–61.20safer36.19–53.1145.96–62.87
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction361418780safe294–429352–485646–914safer276–447334–502611–949
Pass accuracy %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction68.1574.31safe64.12–72.1869.98–78.63safer62.83–73.4868.67–79.94
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2515.0329.28safe11.42–17.0912.08–17.9723.50–35.06safer10.66–17.8511.33–18.7222.00–36.57
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.883.37safe0.33–2.650.79–2.971.12–5.63safer0.03–2.950.50–3.260.53–6.21
Yellow cards
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.224.48safe1.21–3.301.09–3.352.30–6.66safer0.94–3.570.80–3.641.74–7.21
Red cards
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.120.28safe0.00–0.320.00–0.310.00–0.63safer0.00–0.470.00–0.440.00–0.91
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.985.98safe1.56–4.441.43–4.542.99–8.97safer1.18–4.821.00–4.962.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.40–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.66 0.80–2.51 0.58–2.74 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 4.54 2.80–6.28 2.33–6.75 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 12.68 8.76–16.61 7.67–17.70 | 13.00 9.44–16.56 8.48–17.52 | 25.68 18.19–33.17 16.14–35.22 | 44% 49% |
| Shots in box | 7.66 4.72–10.61 3.89–11.43 | 8.41 5.73–11.09 4.99–11.83 | 16.07 10.45–21.70 8.88–23.26 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.35–5.11 0.80–5.65 | 3.39 1.73–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 6.61 3.08–10.15 2.04–11.18 | 40% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 4.59 2.38–6.80 1.80–7.38 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.52 | 9.57 5.36–13.78 4.25–14.89 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 44.65 37.86–51.44 36.19–53.11 | 54.42 47.63–61.20 45.96–62.87 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 361 294–429 276–447 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 780 646–914 611–949 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.15 64.12–72.18 62.83–73.48 | 74.31 69.98–78.63 68.67–79.94 | — | 20% 77% |
| Fouls | 14.25 11.42–17.09 10.66–17.85 | 15.03 12.08–17.97 11.33–18.72 | 29.28 23.50–35.06 22.00–36.57 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.88 0.79–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.21 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.30 0.94–3.57 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.48 2.30–6.66 1.74–7.21 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 13% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.44 1.18–4.82 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 5.98 2.99–8.97 2.18–9.79 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.