Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.102.61safe0.54–2.480.24–1.950.79–4.43safer0.29–2.730.01–2.180.31–4.91
Shots on target
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.507.85safe2.48–6.211.76–5.254.25–11.46safer1.99–6.701.30–5.713.29–12.41
Total shots
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9910.3123.30safe9.07–16.926.75–13.8715.82–30.79safer7.98–18.015.79–14.8313.77–32.84
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.036.7714.79safe5.08–10.974.08–9.459.17–20.42safer4.26–11.803.35–10.187.60–21.98
Blocked shots
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.435.68safe1.36–5.130.78–4.082.14–9.21safer0.82–5.670.29–4.581.11–10.25
Corners
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.088.75safe2.45–6.882.08–6.084.54–12.96safer1.88–7.451.55–6.623.43–14.07
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction53.3448.34safe46.55–60.1341.55–55.12safer44.88–61.8039.88–56.79
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction416376792safe349–483310–442658–926safer331–501292–460623–961
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction69.1570.44safe65.12–73.1866.12–74.77safer63.83–74.4764.81–76.08
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5816.6532.23safe12.74–18.4213.71–19.6026.45–38.01safer11.99–19.1712.96–20.3524.95–39.52
Offsides
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.464.22safe0.59–2.921.37–3.561.96–6.47safer0.29–3.221.08–3.841.37–7.06
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.494.80safe1.25–3.351.37–3.622.62–6.97safer0.99–3.621.07–3.912.06–7.53
Red cards
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.160.26safe0.00–0.260.00–0.340.00–0.61safer0.00–0.410.00–0.480.00–0.89
GK saves
31%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.222.795.01safe0.79–3.661.23–4.342.01–8.00safer0.40–4.040.81–4.771.20–8.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 47% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.48–6.21 1.99–6.70 | 3.50 1.76–5.25 1.30–5.71 | 7.85 4.25–11.46 3.29–12.41 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 12.99 9.07–16.92 7.98–18.01 | 10.31 6.75–13.87 5.79–14.83 | 23.30 15.82–30.79 13.77–32.84 | 67% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.03 5.08–10.97 4.26–11.80 | 6.77 4.08–9.45 3.35–10.18 | 14.79 9.17–20.42 7.60–21.98 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 2.43 0.78–4.08 0.29–4.58 | 5.68 2.14–9.21 1.11–10.25 | 55% 16% 29% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.45–6.88 1.88–7.45 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.62 | 8.75 4.54–12.96 3.43–14.07 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Possession % | 53.34 46.55–60.13 44.88–61.80 | 48.34 41.55–55.12 39.88–56.79 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 331–501 | 376 310–442 292–460 | 792 658–926 623–961 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.15 65.12–73.18 63.83–74.47 | 70.44 66.12–74.77 64.81–76.08 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 15.58 12.74–18.42 11.99–19.17 | 16.65 13.71–19.60 12.96–20.35 | 32.23 26.45–38.01 24.95–39.52 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.59–2.92 0.29–3.22 | 2.46 1.37–3.56 1.08–3.84 | 4.22 1.96–6.47 1.37–7.06 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.99–3.62 | 2.49 1.37–3.62 1.07–3.91 | 4.80 2.62–6.97 2.06–7.53 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.04 | 2.79 1.23–4.34 0.81–4.77 | 5.01 2.01–8.00 1.20–8.81 | 31% 18% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+