UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.552.73safe0.20–2.140.70–2.410.90–4.55safer0.00–2.390.47–2.640.43–5.03
Shots on target
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.718.88safe2.30–6.032.97–6.455.27–12.48safer1.81–6.522.50–6.924.31–13.44
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2013.4925.69safe8.28–16.139.93–17.0518.20–33.18safer7.19–17.228.97–18.0116.15–35.23
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.728.8716.59safe4.78–10.666.19–11.5510.97–22.22safer3.95–11.495.45–12.299.40–23.78
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.616.97safe1.47–5.241.96–5.273.44–10.51safer0.93–5.781.47–5.762.40–11.54
Corners
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.548.77safe2.01–6.442.54–6.544.56–12.99safer1.44–7.022.01–7.083.45–14.09
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction49.1251.98safe42.33–55.9145.19–58.76safer40.66–57.5843.52–60.43
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction430455885safe363–497388–521751–1018safer345–515371–539715–1054
Pass accuracy %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction74.4376.80safe70.40–78.4672.48–81.13safer69.11–79.7571.17–82.44
Fouls
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4715.8028.28safe9.64–15.3112.86–18.7522.49–34.06safer8.88–16.0712.11–19.4920.99–35.56
Offsides
42%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.843.84safe0.83–3.160.75–2.931.58–6.09safer0.53–3.460.46–3.220.99–6.68
Yellow cards
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.965.45safe1.44–3.541.83–4.093.27–7.63safer1.18–3.811.54–4.382.72–8.19
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
46%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.926.11safe1.75–4.621.36–4.473.11–9.10safer1.37–5.010.94–4.902.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.55 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 29% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.30–6.03 1.81–6.52 | 4.71 2.97–6.45 2.50–6.92 | 8.88 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.44 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.20 8.28–16.13 7.19–17.22 | 13.49 9.93–17.05 8.97–18.01 | 25.69 18.20–33.18 16.15–35.23 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.72 4.78–10.66 3.95–11.49 | 8.87 6.19–11.55 5.45–12.29 | 16.59 10.97–22.22 9.40–23.78 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.47–5.24 0.93–5.78 | 3.61 1.96–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 6.97 3.44–10.51 2.40–11.54 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.23 2.01–6.44 1.44–7.02 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.01–7.08 | 8.77 4.56–12.99 3.45–14.09 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Possession % | 49.12 42.33–55.91 40.66–57.58 | 51.98 45.19–58.76 43.52–60.43 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 345–515 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 885 751–1018 715–1054 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.43 70.40–78.46 69.11–79.75 | 76.80 72.48–81.13 71.17–82.44 | — | 36% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.47 9.64–15.31 8.88–16.07 | 15.80 12.86–18.75 12.11–19.49 | 28.28 22.49–34.06 20.99–35.56 | 24% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.16 0.53–3.46 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.84 1.58–6.09 0.99–6.68 | 42% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.49 1.44–3.54 1.18–3.81 | 2.96 1.83–4.09 1.54–4.38 | 5.45 3.27–7.63 2.72–8.19 | 34% 17% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.75–4.62 1.37–5.01 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 6.11 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 46% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.