Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.670.813.48safe1.70–3.630.00–1.661.65–5.30safer1.45–3.890.00–1.891.17–5.78
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.593.3710.96safe5.73–9.451.62–5.117.35–14.56safer5.24–9.941.16–5.576.40–15.52
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.929.5528.48safe15.00–22.855.99–13.1120.99–35.96safer13.91–23.945.03–14.0718.94–38.01
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.675.5219.18safe10.72–16.612.84–8.2013.56–24.81safer9.89–17.442.10–8.9411.99–26.37
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.522.658.16safe3.63–7.400.99–4.304.63–11.70safer3.09–7.940.50–4.793.59–12.73
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.412.9310.33safe5.19–9.620.93–4.936.12–14.55safer4.62–10.190.39–5.465.01–15.65
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.9238.76safe56.13–69.7131.98–45.55safer54.46–71.3830.31–47.22
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction587372960safe520–655306–439826–1093safer502–673288–456790–1129
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction79.4971.02safe75.46–83.5266.69–75.34safer74.17–84.8265.38–76.65
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1112.9923.11safe7.28–12.9510.05–15.9417.32–28.89safer6.52–13.719.30–16.6815.82–30.39
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.293.09safe0.64–2.960.19–2.380.83–5.34safer0.34–3.260.00–2.670.25–5.93
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.963.19safe0.19–2.280.83–3.091.01–5.37safer0.00–2.550.54–3.380.46–5.93
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.384.627.00safe0.94–3.813.07–6.184.01–9.99safer0.55–4.202.64–6.603.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.67 1.70–3.63 1.45–3.89 | 0.81 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 3.48 1.65–5.30 1.17–5.78 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.59 5.73–9.45 5.24–9.94 | 3.37 1.62–5.11 1.16–5.57 | 10.96 7.35–14.56 6.40–15.52 | 87% |
| Total shots | 18.92 15.00–22.85 13.91–23.94 | 9.55 5.99–13.11 5.03–14.07 | 28.48 20.99–35.96 18.94–38.01 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 13.67 10.72–16.61 9.89–17.44 | 5.52 2.84–8.20 2.10–8.94 | 19.18 13.56–24.81 11.99–26.37 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.52 3.63–7.40 3.09–7.94 | 2.65 0.99–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 8.16 4.63–11.70 3.59–12.73 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.41 5.19–9.62 4.62–10.19 | 2.93 0.93–4.93 0.39–5.46 | 10.33 6.12–14.55 5.01–15.65 | 90% |
| Possession % | 62.92 56.13–69.71 54.46–71.38 | 38.76 31.98–45.55 30.31–47.22 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 587 520–655 502–673 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 960 826–1093 790–1129 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.49 75.46–83.52 74.17–84.82 | 71.02 66.69–75.34 65.38–76.65 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.11 7.28–12.95 6.52–13.71 | 12.99 10.05–15.94 9.30–16.68 | 23.11 17.32–28.89 15.82–30.39 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.28 0.00–2.55 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.46–5.93 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 4.62 3.07–6.18 2.64–6.60 | 7.00 4.01–9.99 3.20–10.81 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.