UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.463.06safe0.62–2.560.61–2.321.23–4.88safer0.37–2.810.38–2.550.75–5.36
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.544.209.74safe3.68–7.402.46–5.956.14–13.35safer3.19–7.892.00–6.415.18–14.30
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3810.8728.25safe13.45–21.307.31–14.4320.76–35.73safer12.36–22.396.35–15.3918.71–37.78
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.547.0618.60safe8.60–14.484.38–9.7512.98–24.23safer7.77–15.313.65–10.4811.41–25.79
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.573.057.62safe2.69–6.451.40–4.704.08–11.16safer2.15–7.000.90–5.193.05–12.19
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.244.1210.35safe4.02–8.452.12–6.126.14–14.57safer3.45–9.021.59–6.655.03–15.67
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.5547.78safe44.76–58.3441.00–54.57safer43.09–60.0139.33–56.24
Passes
66%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction500449950safe433–568383–516816–1084safer415–586365–533781–1119
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction76.4573.00safe72.42–80.4868.67–77.32safer71.13–81.7867.37–78.63
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2411.1424.39safe10.41–16.088.20–14.0918.61–30.17safer9.65–16.847.45–14.8417.10–31.68
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.813.81safe0.84–3.160.72–2.901.55–6.06safer0.54–3.460.43–3.190.96–6.65
Yellow cards
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.384.63safe1.20–3.291.26–3.512.45–6.81safer0.93–3.560.96–3.801.89–7.37
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.866.79safe1.50–4.372.30–5.413.80–9.78safer1.11–4.761.88–5.842.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 3.06 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.40 3.19–7.89 | 4.20 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.41 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 17.38 13.45–21.30 12.36–22.39 | 10.87 7.31–14.43 6.35–15.39 | 28.25 20.76–35.73 18.71–37.78 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.54 8.60–14.48 7.77–15.31 | 7.06 4.38–9.75 3.65–10.48 | 18.60 12.98–24.23 11.41–25.79 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.15–7.00 | 3.05 1.40–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.62 4.08–11.16 3.05–12.19 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.02–8.45 3.45–9.02 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.59–6.65 | 10.35 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.67 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 51.55 44.76–58.34 43.09–60.01 | 47.78 41.00–54.57 39.33–56.24 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 500 433–568 415–586 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 950 816–1084 781–1119 | 66% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.45 72.42–80.48 71.13–81.78 | 73.00 68.67–77.32 67.37–78.63 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 13.24 10.41–16.08 9.65–16.84 | 11.14 8.20–14.09 7.45–14.84 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.10–31.68 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.81 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.20–3.29 0.93–3.56 | 2.38 1.26–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.63 2.45–6.81 1.89–7.37 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.86 2.30–5.41 1.88–5.84 | 6.79 3.80–9.78 2.98–10.59 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.