Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.013.06safe1.08–3.010.16–1.871.24–4.88safer0.83–3.270.00–2.090.76–5.36
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.553.299.85safe4.69–8.421.55–5.046.24–13.45safer4.20–8.911.08–5.505.29–14.41
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.039.5528.58safe15.11–22.965.99–13.1121.09–36.07safer14.01–24.055.03–14.0719.04–38.12
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.695.7718.46safe9.74–15.633.09–8.4512.84–24.08safer8.92–16.462.36–9.1911.27–25.65
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.742.016.75safe2.86–6.630.36–3.663.22–10.29safer2.32–7.170.00–4.162.18–11.32
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.102.869.96safe4.88–9.310.86–4.865.74–14.17safer4.31–9.880.33–5.394.64–15.28
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.1543.24safe49.36–62.9436.46–50.03safer47.69–64.6134.79–51.70
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction547419966safe480–614353–486833–1100safer462–632335–503797–1136
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction80.1471.43safe76.11–84.1767.11–75.76safer74.82–85.4665.80–77.07
Fouls
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7410.1823.91safe10.90–16.587.23–13.1218.13–29.70safer10.14–17.336.48–13.8716.63–31.20
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.331.593.91safe1.17–3.490.49–2.681.66–6.17safer0.87–3.790.20–2.971.07–6.76
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.853.41safe0.51–2.610.72–2.981.23–5.58safer0.24–2.870.43–3.270.67–6.14
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.316.61safe0.86–3.742.76–5.873.62–9.61safer0.48–4.122.33–6.292.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.01 0.83–3.27 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.55 4.69–8.42 4.20–8.91 | 3.29 1.55–5.04 1.08–5.50 | 9.85 6.24–13.45 5.29–14.41 | 81% |
| Total shots | 19.03 15.11–22.96 14.01–24.05 | 9.55 5.99–13.11 5.03–14.07 | 28.58 21.09–36.07 19.04–38.12 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.69 9.74–15.63 8.92–16.46 | 5.77 3.09–8.45 2.36–9.19 | 18.46 12.84–24.08 11.27–25.65 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 2.01 0.36–3.66 0.00–4.16 | 6.75 3.22–10.29 2.18–11.32 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.10 4.88–9.31 4.31–9.88 | 2.86 0.86–4.86 0.33–5.39 | 9.96 5.74–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 89% |
| Possession % | 56.15 49.36–62.94 47.69–64.61 | 43.24 36.46–50.03 34.79–51.70 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 462–632 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.14 76.11–84.17 74.82–85.46 | 71.43 67.11–75.76 65.80–77.07 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.74 10.90–16.58 10.14–17.33 | 10.18 7.23–13.12 6.48–13.87 | 23.91 18.13–29.70 16.63–31.20 | 73% 20% |
| Offsides | 2.33 1.17–3.49 0.87–3.79 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.97 | 3.91 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.41 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.74 0.48–4.12 | 4.31 2.76–5.87 2.33–6.29 | 6.61 3.62–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+