UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
17%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.593.87safe0.31–2.241.74–3.452.05–5.69safer0.06–2.491.51–3.681.57–6.17
Shots on target
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.956.4210.37safe2.09–5.814.68–8.166.76–13.97safer1.60–6.304.21–8.635.81–14.93
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7016.2826.97safe6.77–14.6212.71–19.8419.49–34.46safer5.68–15.7111.75–20.8017.44–36.51
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3511.9019.25safe4.41–10.299.22–14.5813.63–24.87safer3.58–11.128.48–15.3212.06–26.44
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.114.087.19safe1.23–5.002.43–5.733.66–10.73safer0.69–5.541.94–6.232.62–11.77
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.265.7610.03safe2.05–6.483.76–7.765.82–14.24safer1.48–7.053.23–8.304.71–15.35
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.9664.91safe29.17–42.7558.12–71.69safer27.50–44.4256.45–73.36
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction3926631055safe325–459597–729921–1188safer306–477579–747885–1224
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction69.2684.08safe65.23–73.2979.76–88.40safer63.94–74.5878.45–89.71
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5910.4721.06safe7.76–13.437.52–13.4115.28–26.84safer7.00–14.196.77–14.1613.77–28.35
Offsides
22%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.153.495.64safe0.99–3.312.40–4.583.39–7.90safer0.69–3.612.11–4.872.80–8.49
Yellow cards
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.543.09safe0.50–2.590.41–2.670.91–5.27safer0.23–2.860.12–2.960.35–5.82
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.536.52safe2.55–5.420.98–4.093.53–9.51safer2.16–5.810.55–4.522.72–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.31–2.24 0.06–2.49 | 2.59 1.74–3.45 1.51–3.68 | 3.87 2.05–5.69 1.57–6.17 | 17% 17% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.09–5.81 1.60–6.30 | 6.42 4.68–8.16 4.21–8.63 | 10.37 6.76–13.97 5.81–14.93 | 18% 73% |
| Total shots | 10.70 6.77–14.62 5.68–15.71 | 16.28 12.71–19.84 11.75–20.80 | 26.97 19.49–34.46 17.44–36.51 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 7.35 4.41–10.29 3.58–11.12 | 11.90 9.22–14.58 8.48–15.32 | 19.25 13.63–24.87 12.06–26.44 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 4.08 2.43–5.73 1.94–6.23 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.77 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.26 2.05–6.48 1.48–7.05 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.30 | 10.03 5.82–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 35.96 29.17–42.75 27.50–44.42 | 64.91 58.12–71.69 56.45–73.36 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 392 325–459 306–477 | 663 597–729 579–747 | 1055 921–1188 885–1224 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.26 65.23–73.29 63.94–74.58 | 84.08 79.76–88.40 78.45–89.71 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.59 7.76–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 10.47 7.52–13.41 6.77–14.16 | 21.06 15.28–26.84 13.77–28.35 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 3.49 2.40–4.58 2.11–4.87 | 5.64 3.39–7.90 2.80–8.49 | 22% 15% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.35–5.82 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.99 2.55–5.42 2.16–5.81 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.52 | 6.52 3.53–9.51 2.72–10.33 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.