UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.552.97safe0.46–2.390.69–2.401.15–4.79safer0.20–2.640.46–2.630.67–5.27
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.769.16safe2.54–6.263.01–6.505.55–12.76safer2.05–6.752.55–6.964.60–13.72
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5813.5627.13safe9.65–17.5010.00–17.1219.65–34.62safer8.56–18.599.04–18.0817.60–36.67
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.929.1918.11safe5.97–11.866.51–11.8812.49–23.73safer5.14–12.695.78–12.6110.92–25.30
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.226.90safe1.80–5.561.57–4.873.37–10.44safer1.26–6.111.08–5.372.33–11.47
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.729.97safe3.03–7.462.72–6.725.75–14.18safer2.46–8.032.19–7.264.65–15.29
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.3351.99safe41.54–55.1245.20–58.77safer39.87–56.7943.53–60.44
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction431455886safe364–498389–522752–1020safer346–516371–539717–1056
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction71.7776.55safe67.74–75.8072.22–80.87safer66.45–77.0970.91–82.18
Fouls
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9612.6425.60safe10.12–15.809.70–15.5919.82–31.38safer9.37–16.558.95–16.3318.31–32.89
Offsides
15%
14%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.503.214.71safe0.34–2.662.12–4.302.46–6.96safer0.04–2.961.83–4.591.87–7.55
Yellow cards
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.424.24safe0.76–2.861.29–3.552.06–6.41safer0.50–3.131.00–3.841.50–6.97
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
41%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.196.35safe1.72–4.591.63–4.753.36–9.34safer1.33–4.981.21–5.172.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.46–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.55 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 35% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.26 2.05–6.75 | 4.76 3.01–6.50 2.55–6.96 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.58 9.65–17.50 8.56–18.59 | 13.56 10.00–17.12 9.04–18.08 | 27.13 19.65–34.62 17.60–36.67 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.92 5.97–11.86 5.14–12.69 | 9.19 6.51–11.88 5.78–12.61 | 18.11 12.49–23.73 10.92–25.30 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.56 1.26–6.11 | 3.22 1.57–4.87 1.08–5.37 | 6.90 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.47 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.46 2.46–8.03 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.19–7.26 | 9.97 5.75–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 48.33 41.54–55.12 39.87–56.79 | 51.99 45.20–58.77 43.53–60.44 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–516 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 886 752–1020 717–1056 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.77 67.74–75.80 66.45–77.09 | 76.55 72.22–80.87 70.91–82.18 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 12.96 10.12–15.80 9.37–16.55 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.33 | 25.60 19.82–31.38 18.31–32.89 | 49% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 3.21 2.12–4.30 1.83–4.59 | 4.71 2.46–6.96 1.87–7.55 | 15% 14% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 2.42 1.29–3.55 1.00–3.84 | 4.24 2.06–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 3.19 1.63–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 41% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+