UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 3·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.210.953.16safe1.24–3.180.09–1.801.33–4.98safer0.99–3.430.00–2.030.85–5.46
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.113.4310.54safe5.25–8.971.69–5.176.94–14.15safer4.76–9.461.22–5.645.98–15.10
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction19.039.8028.83safe15.11–22.966.24–13.3621.34–36.32safer14.02–24.055.28–14.3219.29–38.37
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.346.7619.10safe9.40–15.284.08–9.4513.48–24.73safer8.57–16.113.35–10.1811.91–26.29
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.692.146.83safe2.81–6.570.49–3.793.29–10.36safer2.27–7.120.00–4.282.26–11.40
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.893.3510.25safe4.68–9.101.35–5.356.03–14.46safer4.10–9.680.82–5.894.92–15.57
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.1839.92safe53.39–66.9733.14–46.71safer51.72–68.6431.47–48.38
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction574370944safe507–642303–436811–1078safer489–660286–454775–1114
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction76.7870.31safe72.75–80.8165.99–74.64safer71.46–82.1164.68–75.95
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6412.7423.38safe7.80–13.479.80–15.6817.59–29.16safer7.04–14.239.05–16.4316.09–30.66
Offsides
24%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.894.75safe0.70–3.021.80–3.982.49–7.00safer0.40–3.321.51–4.271.91–7.59
Yellow cards
21%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.303.62safe0.27–2.371.17–3.431.44–5.80safer0.00–2.630.88–3.720.88–6.35
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.444.807.24safe1.00–3.873.25–6.364.25–10.24safer0.62–4.262.82–6.793.44–11.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.21 1.24–3.18 0.99–3.43 | 0.95 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 3.16 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.11 5.25–8.97 4.76–9.46 | 3.43 1.69–5.17 1.22–5.64 | 10.54 6.94–14.15 5.98–15.10 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.03 15.11–22.96 14.02–24.05 | 9.80 6.24–13.36 5.28–14.32 | 28.83 21.34–36.32 19.29–38.37 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.34 9.40–15.28 8.57–16.11 | 6.76 4.08–9.45 3.35–10.18 | 19.10 13.48–24.73 11.91–26.29 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.69 2.81–6.57 2.27–7.12 | 2.14 0.49–3.79 0.00–4.28 | 6.83 3.29–10.36 2.26–11.40 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.89 4.68–9.10 4.10–9.68 | 3.35 1.35–5.35 0.82–5.89 | 10.25 6.03–14.46 4.92–15.57 | 83% |
| Possession % | 60.18 53.39–66.97 51.72–68.64 | 39.92 33.14–46.71 31.47–48.38 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 574 507–642 489–660 | 370 303–436 286–454 | 944 811–1078 775–1114 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.78 72.75–80.81 71.46–82.11 | 70.31 65.99–74.64 64.68–75.95 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.64 7.80–13.47 7.04–14.23 | 12.74 9.80–15.68 9.05–16.43 | 23.38 17.59–29.16 16.09–30.66 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 2.89 1.80–3.98 1.51–4.27 | 4.75 2.49–7.00 1.91–7.59 | 24% 17% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.00–2.63 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.88–6.35 | 21% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.62–4.26 | 4.80 3.25–6.36 2.82–6.79 | 7.24 4.25–10.24 3.44–11.05 | 14% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+