UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.212.88safe0.70–2.630.36–2.061.05–4.70safer0.45–2.890.13–2.290.57–5.18
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.899.32safe3.57–7.302.14–5.635.72–12.93safer3.08–7.791.68–6.094.76–13.88
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5510.1125.66safe11.62–19.476.55–13.6718.17–33.14safer10.53–20.565.59–14.6316.12–35.19
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.906.7017.61safe7.96–13.854.02–9.3811.98–23.23safer7.13–14.683.28–10.1210.42–24.80
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.228.03safe2.93–6.691.57–4.874.50–11.57safer2.39–7.241.08–5.373.46–12.60
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.003.899.89safe3.79–8.211.89–5.895.68–14.11safer3.21–8.791.36–6.434.57–15.21
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction51.3647.88safe44.57–58.1541.10–54.67safer42.90–59.8239.43–56.34
Passes
64%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction517472990safe450–584406–539856–1123safer432–603389–556820–1159
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction74.4776.48safe70.44–78.5072.15–80.80safer69.15–79.7970.85–82.11
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.389.9220.30safe7.54–13.226.98–12.8714.52–26.09safer6.79–13.976.23–13.6213.02–27.59
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.353.12safe0.62–2.940.25–2.440.87–5.38safer0.32–3.240.00–2.730.28–5.97
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.873.63safe0.71–2.810.74–2.991.45–5.81safer0.45–3.080.45–3.290.89–6.36
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.606.13safe1.10–3.982.04–5.153.14–9.13safer0.72–4.361.61–5.582.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.63 0.45–2.89 | 1.21 0.36–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.57–7.30 3.08–7.79 | 3.89 2.14–5.63 1.68–6.09 | 9.32 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.88 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.55 11.62–19.47 10.53–20.56 | 10.11 6.55–13.67 5.59–14.63 | 25.66 18.17–33.14 16.12–35.19 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.90 7.96–13.85 7.13–14.68 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 17.61 11.98–23.23 10.42–24.80 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.81 2.93–6.69 2.39–7.24 | 3.22 1.57–4.87 1.08–5.37 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.79–8.21 3.21–8.79 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.43 | 9.89 5.68–14.11 4.57–15.21 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 51.36 44.57–58.15 42.90–59.82 | 47.88 41.10–54.67 39.43–56.34 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–603 | 472 406–539 389–556 | 990 856–1123 820–1159 | 64% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.47 70.44–78.50 69.15–79.79 | 76.48 72.15–80.80 70.85–82.11 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 10.38 7.54–13.22 6.79–13.97 | 9.92 6.98–12.87 6.23–13.62 | 20.30 14.52–26.09 13.02–27.59 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.12 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 1.87 0.74–2.99 0.45–3.29 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.36 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.98 0.72–4.36 | 3.60 2.04–5.15 1.61–5.58 | 6.13 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+