UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.450.833.28safe1.48–3.410.00–1.681.45–5.10safer1.23–3.670.00–1.910.97–5.58
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.382.8510.23safe5.51–9.241.11–4.596.62–13.83safer5.02–9.730.64–5.065.67–14.79
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.018.6628.68safe16.09–23.945.10–12.2221.19–36.16safer15.00–25.034.14–13.1819.14–38.21
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.705.2718.97safe10.76–16.642.59–7.9513.35–24.59safer9.93–17.471.85–8.6911.78–26.16
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.121.917.02safe3.23–7.000.25–3.563.49–10.56safer2.69–7.540.00–4.052.45–11.59
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.712.8810.60safe5.50–9.930.88–4.886.38–14.81safer4.93–10.500.35–5.415.28–15.92
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.7337.11safe55.94–69.5230.32–43.89safer54.27–71.1928.65–45.56
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction623366988safe555–690299–432855–1122safer537–708282–450819–1158
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction79.3670.55safe75.33–83.3966.22–74.87safer74.04–84.6864.91–76.18
Fouls
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1911.6921.88safe7.35–13.038.75–14.6416.10–27.67safer6.60–13.788.00–15.3914.60–29.17
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.403.61safe1.05–3.370.30–2.491.36–5.87safer0.75–3.680.02–2.780.77–6.45
Yellow cards
27%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.883.22safe0.29–2.390.75–3.011.04–5.40safer0.03–2.660.46–3.300.49–5.96
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction1.994.816.80safe0.56–3.433.25–6.363.81–9.79safer0.17–3.822.83–6.793.00–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.45 1.48–3.41 1.23–3.67 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.28 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.38 5.51–9.24 5.02–9.73 | 2.85 1.11–4.59 0.64–5.06 | 10.23 6.62–13.83 5.67–14.79 | 90% |
| Total shots | 20.01 16.09–23.94 15.00–25.03 | 8.66 5.10–12.22 4.14–13.18 | 28.68 21.19–36.16 19.14–38.21 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.70 10.76–16.64 9.93–17.47 | 5.27 2.59–7.95 1.85–8.69 | 18.97 13.35–24.59 11.78–26.16 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.12 3.23–7.00 2.69–7.54 | 1.91 0.25–3.56 0.00–4.05 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.59 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.71 5.50–9.93 4.93–10.50 | 2.88 0.88–4.88 0.35–5.41 | 10.60 6.38–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 91% |
| Possession % | 62.73 55.94–69.52 54.27–71.19 | 37.11 30.32–43.89 28.65–45.56 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 623 555–690 537–708 | 366 299–432 282–450 | 988 855–1122 819–1158 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.36 75.33–83.39 74.04–84.68 | 70.55 66.22–74.87 64.91–76.18 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.03 6.60–13.78 | 11.69 8.75–14.64 8.00–15.39 | 21.88 16.10–27.67 14.60–29.17 | 33% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.75–3.68 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.61 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.45 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.22 1.04–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 27% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 4.81 3.25–6.36 2.83–6.79 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 3.00–10.60 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+