UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
18%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.551.363.90safe1.58–3.510.50–2.212.08–5.73safer1.33–3.770.28–2.441.60–6.21
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.754.1510.90safe4.89–8.622.41–5.897.30–14.51safer4.40–9.111.94–6.366.34–15.46
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.269.9328.19safe14.33–22.186.37–13.4920.70–35.68safer13.24–23.275.41–14.4518.65–37.73
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.126.5918.70safe9.17–15.063.91–9.2713.08–24.33safer8.34–15.893.17–10.0111.51–25.89
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.532.366.89safe2.64–6.410.71–4.023.35–10.43safer2.10–6.950.22–4.512.32–11.46
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.519.95safe4.23–8.661.51–5.515.74–14.16safer3.66–9.230.97–6.044.63–15.27
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.7639.47safe52.97–66.5532.68–46.25safer51.30–68.2231.01–47.93
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6114291040safe544–679363–495907–1174safer526–697345–513871–1210
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction79.9877.03safe75.96–84.0172.70–81.35safer74.66–85.3171.39–82.66
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3011.3421.64safe7.46–13.148.40–14.2915.86–27.42safer6.70–13.897.65–15.0414.36–28.93
Offsides
44%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.386.84safe2.30–4.632.28–4.474.59–9.10safer2.00–4.932.00–4.764.00–9.69
Yellow cards
27%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.183.72safe0.48–2.581.05–3.311.54–5.89safer0.22–2.850.76–3.600.98–6.45
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
23%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.704.146.83safe1.26–4.132.58–5.693.84–9.82safer0.87–4.522.15–6.123.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.55 1.58–3.51 1.33–3.77 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.28–2.44 | 3.90 2.08–5.73 1.60–6.21 | 63% 18% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.75 4.89–8.62 4.40–9.11 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 10.90 7.30–14.51 6.34–15.46 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 18.26 14.33–22.18 13.24–23.27 | 9.93 6.37–13.49 5.41–14.45 | 28.19 20.70–35.68 18.65–37.73 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.12 9.17–15.06 8.34–15.89 | 6.59 3.91–9.27 3.17–10.01 | 18.70 13.08–24.33 11.51–25.89 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 2.36 0.71–4.02 0.22–4.51 | 6.89 3.35–10.43 2.32–11.46 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.23–8.66 3.66–9.23 | 3.51 1.51–5.51 0.97–6.04 | 9.95 5.74–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 59.76 52.97–66.55 51.30–68.22 | 39.47 32.68–46.25 31.01–47.93 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 611 544–679 526–697 | 429 363–495 345–513 | 1040 907–1174 871–1210 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.98 75.96–84.01 74.66–85.31 | 77.03 72.70–81.35 71.39–82.66 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 10.30 7.46–13.14 6.70–13.89 | 11.34 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.04 | 21.64 15.86–27.42 14.36–28.93 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 3.47 2.30–4.63 2.00–4.93 | 3.38 2.28–4.47 2.00–4.76 | 6.84 4.59–9.10 4.00–9.69 | 44% 16% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.72 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 27% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 4.14 2.58–5.69 2.15–6.12 | 6.83 3.84–9.82 3.03–10.64 | 23% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+