Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
15%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.951.334.28safe1.98–3.920.47–2.182.45–6.10safer1.73–4.170.25–2.411.97–6.58
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.644.0711.72safe5.78–9.502.33–5.828.11–15.32safer5.29–9.991.87–6.287.16–16.28
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.909.9229.83safe15.98–23.836.36–13.4822.34–37.31safer14.89–24.925.40–14.4420.29–39.36
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction13.666.5320.19safe10.72–16.603.85–9.2114.57–25.81safer9.89–17.433.11–9.9513.00–27.38
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.386.57safe2.31–6.080.73–4.033.04–10.11safer1.77–6.620.23–4.522.00–11.14
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.953.4010.35safe4.73–9.161.40–5.406.14–14.56safer4.16–9.730.87–5.945.03–15.67
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction63.1037.81safe56.31–69.8931.02–44.59safer54.64–71.5629.35–46.26
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction6373981035safe570–704331–464901–1168safer551–722314–482865–1204
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction81.1175.17safe77.08–85.1470.85–79.49safer75.78–86.4369.54–80.80
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5511.6521.20safe6.71–12.388.70–14.5915.41–26.98safer5.95–13.147.96–15.3413.91–28.48
Offsides
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.407.08safe2.52–4.842.31–4.494.82–9.33safer2.22–5.142.02–4.784.24–9.92
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.953.62safe0.62–2.720.82–3.081.44–5.80safer0.35–2.980.53–3.370.88–6.35
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.517.04safe1.09–3.972.95–6.064.04–10.03safer0.71–4.352.53–6.493.23–10.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.95 1.98–3.92 1.73–4.17 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 4.28 2.45–6.10 1.97–6.58 | 70% 15% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.64 5.78–9.50 5.29–9.99 | 4.07 2.33–5.82 1.87–6.28 | 11.72 8.11–15.32 7.16–16.28 | 82% |
| Total shots | 19.90 15.98–23.83 14.89–24.92 | 9.92 6.36–13.48 5.40–14.44 | 29.83 22.34–37.31 20.29–39.36 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 13.66 10.72–16.60 9.89–17.43 | 6.53 3.85–9.21 3.11–9.95 | 20.19 14.57–25.81 13.00–27.38 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 2.38 0.73–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 6.57 3.04–10.11 2.00–11.14 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.95 4.73–9.16 4.16–9.73 | 3.40 1.40–5.40 0.87–5.94 | 10.35 6.14–14.56 5.03–15.67 | 83% |
| Possession % | 63.10 56.31–69.89 54.64–71.56 | 37.81 31.02–44.59 29.35–46.26 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 637 570–704 551–722 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 1035 901–1168 865–1204 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.11 77.08–85.14 75.78–86.43 | 75.17 70.85–79.49 69.54–80.80 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 9.55 6.71–12.38 5.95–13.14 | 11.65 8.70–14.59 7.96–15.34 | 21.20 15.41–26.98 13.91–28.48 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 3.68 2.52–4.84 2.22–5.14 | 3.40 2.31–4.49 2.02–4.78 | 7.08 4.82–9.33 4.24–9.92 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.88–6.35 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.97 0.71–4.35 | 4.51 2.95–6.06 2.53–6.49 | 7.04 4.04–10.03 3.23–10.84 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.