UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.920.993.91safe1.95–3.890.13–1.842.09–5.73safer1.70–4.140.00–2.071.61–6.21
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.533.7311.26safe5.67–9.391.99–5.477.66–14.87safer5.18–9.881.52–5.946.70–15.82
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction19.299.9129.20safe15.37–23.226.35–13.4721.72–36.69safer14.28–24.315.39–14.4319.67–38.74
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.515.8119.32safe10.56–16.453.13–8.4913.69–24.94safer9.73–17.282.39–9.2312.13–26.51
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.082.257.33safe3.20–6.960.60–3.903.80–10.87safer2.65–7.500.11–4.402.76–11.90
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.443.0410.48safe5.23–9.661.04–5.046.27–14.70safer4.66–10.230.51–5.575.16–15.80
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.0036.85safe56.21–69.7930.07–43.64safer54.54–71.4628.40–45.31
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6793991077safe611–746332–465943–1211safer593–764315–482908–1246
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction82.2772.83safe78.24–86.3068.51–77.15safer76.95–87.6067.20–78.46
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0511.0221.07safe7.21–12.898.08–13.9715.29–26.86safer6.46–13.647.33–14.7213.79–28.36
Offsides
63%
16%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.011.754.76safe1.85–4.170.65–2.842.51–7.01safer1.55–4.470.37–3.131.92–7.60
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.823.28safe0.41–2.510.69–2.951.10–5.46safer0.14–2.780.40–3.240.54–6.02
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.494.867.35safe1.05–3.923.31–6.424.36–10.34safer0.66–4.312.88–6.853.55–11.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.92 1.95–3.89 1.70–4.14 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 3.91 2.09–5.73 1.61–6.21 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.53 5.67–9.39 5.18–9.88 | 3.73 1.99–5.47 1.52–5.94 | 11.26 7.66–14.87 6.70–15.82 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.29 15.37–23.22 14.28–24.31 | 9.91 6.35–13.47 5.39–14.43 | 29.20 21.72–36.69 19.67–38.74 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 13.51 10.56–16.45 9.73–17.28 | 5.81 3.13–8.49 2.39–9.23 | 19.32 13.69–24.94 12.13–26.51 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.08 3.20–6.96 2.65–7.50 | 2.25 0.60–3.90 0.11–4.40 | 7.33 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.90 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.44 5.23–9.66 4.66–10.23 | 3.04 1.04–5.04 0.51–5.57 | 10.48 6.27–14.70 5.16–15.80 | 89% |
| Possession % | 63.00 56.21–69.79 54.54–71.46 | 36.85 30.07–43.64 28.40–45.31 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 679 611–746 593–764 | 399 332–465 315–482 | 1077 943–1211 908–1246 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.27 78.24–86.30 76.95–87.60 | 72.83 68.51–77.15 67.20–78.46 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.05 7.21–12.89 6.46–13.64 | 11.02 8.08–13.97 7.33–14.72 | 21.07 15.29–26.86 13.79–28.36 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 3.01 1.85–4.17 1.55–4.47 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 4.76 2.51–7.01 1.92–7.60 | 63% 16% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.78 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.28 1.10–5.46 0.54–6.02 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 4.86 3.31–6.42 2.88–6.85 | 7.35 4.36–10.34 3.55–11.16 | 14% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+