UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
92%
homeawaytotalprediction4.120.704.82safe3.15–5.090.00–1.563.00–6.65safer2.90–5.340.00–1.792.52–7.13
Shots on target
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.722.5612.28safe7.85–11.580.82–4.318.67–15.88safer7.36–12.070.35–4.777.72–16.84
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction25.837.6033.43safe21.91–29.754.04–11.1725.95–40.92safer20.81–30.853.08–12.1223.89–42.97
Shots in box
100%
homeawaytotalprediction16.334.2320.55safe13.38–19.271.54–6.9114.93–26.18safer12.56–20.100.81–7.6413.36–27.74
Blocked shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6.631.578.19safe4.75–8.510.00–3.224.66–11.73safer4.20–9.050.00–3.713.62–12.77
Corners
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.402.3411.74safe7.18–11.610.34–4.357.53–15.95safer6.61–12.180.00–4.886.42–17.06
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction73.6125.89safe66.82–80.4019.10–32.67safer65.15–82.0717.43–34.34
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7492571006safe681–816191–324872–1139safer663–834173–341836–1175
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction85.0367.54safe81.00–89.0663.21–71.86safer79.71–90.3561.90–73.17
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6011.7221.32safe6.77–12.448.77–14.6615.54–27.10safer6.01–13.208.02–15.4114.03–28.61
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.003.66safe0.50–2.820.90–3.091.41–5.91safer0.20–3.120.61–3.380.82–6.50
Yellow cards
25%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.572.62safe0.00–2.100.44–2.700.44–4.80safer0.00–2.360.15–2.990.00–5.36
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
93%
homeawaytotalprediction1.726.328.04safe0.28–3.154.77–7.885.05–11.03safer0.00–3.544.34–8.304.23–11.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4.12 3.15–5.09 2.90–5.34 | 0.70 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 4.82 3.00–6.65 2.52–7.13 | 92% |
| Shots on target | 9.72 7.85–11.58 7.36–12.07 | 2.56 0.82–4.31 0.35–4.77 | 12.28 8.67–15.88 7.72–16.84 | 98% |
| Total shots | 25.83 21.91–29.75 20.81–30.85 | 7.60 4.04–11.17 3.08–12.12 | 33.43 25.95–40.92 23.89–42.97 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.33 13.38–19.27 12.56–20.10 | 4.23 1.54–6.91 0.81–7.64 | 20.55 14.93–26.18 13.36–27.74 | 100% |
| Blocked shots | 6.63 4.75–8.51 4.20–9.05 | 1.57 0.00–3.22 0.00–3.71 | 8.19 4.66–11.73 3.62–12.77 | 95% |
| Corners | 9.40 7.18–11.61 6.61–12.18 | 2.34 0.34–4.35 0.00–4.88 | 11.74 7.53–15.95 6.42–17.06 | 98% |
| Possession % | 73.61 66.82–80.40 65.15–82.07 | 25.89 19.10–32.67 17.43–34.34 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 749 681–816 663–834 | 257 191–324 173–341 | 1006 872–1139 836–1175 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.03 81.00–89.06 79.71–90.35 | 67.54 63.21–71.86 61.90–73.17 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 9.60 6.77–12.44 6.01–13.20 | 11.72 8.77–14.66 8.02–15.41 | 21.32 15.54–27.10 14.03–28.61 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.00 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.38 | 3.66 1.41–5.91 0.82–6.50 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.05 0.00–2.10 0.00–2.36 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 2.62 0.44–4.80 0.00–5.36 | 25% 25% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.72 0.28–3.15 0.00–3.54 | 6.32 4.77–7.88 4.34–8.30 | 8.04 5.05–11.03 4.23–11.84 | 93% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+