UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.322.80safe0.51–2.440.47–2.180.98–4.62safer0.26–2.700.24–2.400.50–5.10
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.139.22safe3.23–6.962.38–5.875.62–12.83safer2.75–7.451.92–6.344.66–13.78
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4111.1825.58safe10.48–18.337.62–14.7418.10–33.07safer9.39–19.426.66–15.7016.05–35.12
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.798.2717.06safe5.84–11.735.59–10.9511.44–22.68safer5.02–12.564.85–11.699.87–24.25
Blocked shots
63%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.917.27safe2.47–6.231.26–4.573.73–10.80safer1.93–6.780.77–5.062.70–11.84
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.589.71safe2.92–7.352.58–6.585.50–13.93safer2.34–7.922.05–7.124.39–15.03
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.6446.75safe46.85–60.4339.96–53.53safer45.18–62.1038.29–55.20
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction503413915safe435–570346–479782–1049safer417–588329–497746–1085
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction71.7671.46safe67.73–75.7967.13–75.78safer66.44–77.0865.82–77.09
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6913.6425.33safe8.85–14.5210.70–16.5919.55–31.11safer8.09–15.289.95–17.3418.04–32.62
Offsides
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.233.044.27safe0.07–2.391.95–4.142.02–6.53safer0.00–2.691.66–4.421.43–7.12
Yellow cards
28%
18%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.724.71safe0.94–3.041.59–3.852.53–6.89safer0.67–3.301.30–4.141.97–7.44
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.436.33safe1.47–4.341.87–4.983.34–9.33safer1.08–4.731.45–5.412.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.44 0.26–2.70 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.40 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.23–6.96 2.75–7.45 | 4.13 2.38–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 9.22 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.78 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.41 10.48–18.33 9.39–19.42 | 11.18 7.62–14.74 6.66–15.70 | 25.58 18.10–33.07 16.05–35.12 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 8.79 5.84–11.73 5.02–12.56 | 8.27 5.59–10.95 4.85–11.69 | 17.06 11.44–22.68 9.87–24.25 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.23 1.93–6.78 | 2.91 1.26–4.57 0.77–5.06 | 7.27 3.73–10.80 2.70–11.84 | 63% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.35 2.34–7.92 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.12 | 9.71 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.03 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 53.64 46.85–60.43 45.18–62.10 | 46.75 39.96–53.53 38.29–55.20 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 503 435–570 417–588 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 915 782–1049 746–1085 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.76 67.73–75.79 66.44–77.08 | 71.46 67.13–75.78 65.82–77.09 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.52 8.09–15.28 | 13.64 10.70–16.59 9.95–17.34 | 25.33 19.55–31.11 18.04–32.62 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.23 0.07–2.39 0.00–2.69 | 3.04 1.95–4.14 1.66–4.42 | 4.27 2.02–6.53 1.43–7.12 | 14% 74% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.72 1.59–3.85 1.30–4.14 | 4.71 2.53–6.89 1.97–7.44 | 28% 18% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 3.43 1.87–4.98 1.45–5.41 | 6.33 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+