UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.813.14safe0.37–2.300.95–2.661.32–4.96safer0.12–2.560.72–2.890.84–5.44
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.915.259.16safe2.04–5.773.51–6.995.55–12.76safer1.56–6.263.04–7.464.60–13.72
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2114.9426.15safe7.28–15.1311.38–18.5018.66–33.63safer6.19–16.2210.42–19.4616.61–35.69
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.799.8316.62safe3.85–9.747.14–12.5111.00–22.24safer3.02–10.576.41–13.249.43–23.81
Blocked shots
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.714.417.12safe0.83–4.592.75–6.063.58–10.65safer0.29–5.142.26–6.552.55–11.69
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.125.259.37safe1.91–6.343.25–7.255.16–13.58safer1.34–6.912.71–7.784.05–14.69
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction48.0451.81safe41.25–54.8345.03–58.60safer39.58–56.5043.35–60.27
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4955231018safe428–563457–589885–1152safer410–581439–607849–1188
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction73.3679.33safe69.33–77.3975.01–83.66safer68.04–78.6873.70–84.97
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9211.0921.01safe7.09–12.768.15–14.0415.23–26.80safer6.33–13.527.40–14.7813.73–28.30
Offsides
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.243.82safe0.42–2.741.15–3.341.57–6.07safer0.12–3.040.86–3.620.98–6.66
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.943.52safe0.54–2.640.81–3.071.35–5.70safer0.27–2.900.52–3.360.79–6.26
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.636.03safe1.97–4.841.07–4.193.04–9.03safer1.58–5.230.65–4.612.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.30 0.12–2.56 | 1.81 0.95–2.66 0.72–2.89 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.04–5.77 1.56–6.26 | 5.25 3.51–6.99 3.04–7.46 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 11.21 7.28–15.13 6.19–16.22 | 14.94 11.38–18.50 10.42–19.46 | 26.15 18.66–33.63 16.61–35.69 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 6.79 3.85–9.74 3.02–10.57 | 9.83 7.14–12.51 6.41–13.24 | 16.62 11.00–22.24 9.43–23.81 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 2.71 0.83–4.59 0.29–5.14 | 4.41 2.75–6.06 2.26–6.55 | 7.12 3.58–10.65 2.55–11.69 | 20% 67% |
| Corners | 4.12 1.91–6.34 1.34–6.91 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.71–7.78 | 9.37 5.16–13.58 4.05–14.69 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 48.04 41.25–54.83 39.58–56.50 | 51.81 45.03–58.60 43.35–60.27 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 495 428–563 410–581 | 523 457–589 439–607 | 1018 885–1152 849–1188 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.36 69.33–77.39 68.04–78.68 | 79.33 75.01–83.66 73.70–84.97 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 9.92 7.09–12.76 6.33–13.52 | 11.09 8.15–14.04 7.40–14.78 | 21.01 15.23–26.80 13.73–28.30 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 2.24 1.15–3.34 0.86–3.62 | 3.82 1.57–6.07 0.98–6.66 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.52 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.97–4.84 1.58–5.23 | 2.63 1.07–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+