UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
19%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.363.58safe0.25–2.191.50–3.211.76–5.40safer0.00–2.441.28–3.441.28–5.88
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.926.2710.19safe2.06–5.794.53–8.016.59–13.80safer1.57–6.284.06–8.485.63–14.75
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5416.5827.12safe6.62–14.4713.01–20.1419.63–34.61safer5.53–15.5612.05–21.1017.58–36.66
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4911.3217.82safe3.55–9.448.64–14.0012.19–23.44safer2.72–10.277.91–14.7410.63–25.01
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.824.507.33safe0.94–4.712.85–6.163.79–10.86safer0.40–5.252.36–6.652.76–11.90
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.165.829.97safe1.95–6.373.82–7.825.76–14.19safer1.37–6.953.28–8.354.65–15.30
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.3754.14safe38.58–52.1647.35–60.92safer36.91–53.8345.68–62.59
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction460536996safe393–527470–603863–1130safer374–545452–620827–1166
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction71.8478.11safe67.81–75.8773.78–82.43safer66.52–77.1672.47–83.74
Fouls
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5110.7520.26safe6.68–12.357.80–13.6914.48–26.05safer5.92–13.117.06–14.4412.98–27.55
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.073.96safe0.73–3.050.98–3.161.71–6.21safer0.43–3.350.69–3.451.12–6.80
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.853.40safe0.51–2.600.72–2.981.23–5.58safer0.24–2.870.43–3.270.67–6.14
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.942.706.64safe2.51–5.381.14–4.253.65–9.63safer2.12–5.770.72–4.682.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 2.36 1.50–3.21 1.28–3.44 | 3.58 1.76–5.40 1.28–5.88 | 18% 19% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.92 2.06–5.79 1.57–6.28 | 6.27 4.53–8.01 4.06–8.48 | 10.19 6.59–13.80 5.63–14.75 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 10.54 6.62–14.47 5.53–15.56 | 16.58 13.01–20.14 12.05–21.10 | 27.12 19.63–34.61 17.58–36.66 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 6.49 3.55–9.44 2.72–10.27 | 11.32 8.64–14.00 7.91–14.74 | 17.82 12.19–23.44 10.63–25.01 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.82 0.94–4.71 0.40–5.25 | 4.50 2.85–6.16 2.36–6.65 | 7.33 3.79–10.86 2.76–11.90 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.37 1.37–6.95 | 5.82 3.82–7.82 3.28–8.35 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.30 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 45.37 38.58–52.16 36.91–53.83 | 54.14 47.35–60.92 45.68–62.59 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 460 393–527 374–545 | 536 470–603 452–620 | 996 863–1130 827–1166 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.84 67.81–75.87 66.52–77.16 | 78.11 73.78–82.43 72.47–83.74 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 9.51 6.68–12.35 5.92–13.11 | 10.75 7.80–13.69 7.06–14.44 | 20.26 14.48–26.05 12.98–27.55 | 35% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.96 1.71–6.21 1.12–6.80 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.51–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.40 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.94 2.51–5.38 2.12–5.77 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 6.64 3.65–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+