UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
16%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.641.093.73safe1.68–3.610.23–1.941.91–5.55safer1.42–3.860.00–2.171.43–6.03
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.693.9811.67safe5.82–9.552.24–5.728.06–15.27safer5.33–10.041.77–6.197.11–16.23
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction20.3810.0930.46safe16.45–24.306.53–13.6522.98–37.95safer15.36–25.395.57–14.6120.93–40.00
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction13.966.8420.81safe11.02–16.914.16–9.5215.18–26.43safer10.19–17.743.42–10.2613.62–28.00
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.812.588.39safe3.93–7.700.93–4.234.86–11.93safer3.39–8.240.43–4.723.82–12.96
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.533.2710.80safe5.32–9.741.27–5.276.59–15.01safer4.74–10.320.74–5.805.48–16.12
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.6043.36safe50.81–64.3936.57–50.14safer49.14–66.0634.90–51.82
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5894401029safe522–656374–506895–1163safer504–675356–524860–1199
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction80.5774.18safe76.54–84.6069.85–78.50safer75.25–85.8968.54–79.81
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.939.7319.66safe7.09–12.776.78–12.6713.88–25.44safer6.34–13.536.03–13.4212.37–26.94
Offsides
49%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.563.62safe0.90–3.220.47–2.661.37–5.87safer0.60–3.520.18–2.940.78–6.46
Yellow cards
34%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.542.90safe0.31–2.410.41–2.670.72–5.08safer0.05–2.680.12–2.960.16–5.63
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.584.717.29safe1.14–4.013.16–6.274.30–10.28safer0.75–4.402.73–6.703.49–11.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.64 1.68–3.61 1.42–3.86 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 3.73 1.91–5.55 1.43–6.03 | 71% 16% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.69 5.82–9.55 5.33–10.04 | 3.98 2.24–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 11.67 8.06–15.27 7.11–16.23 | 83% |
| Total shots | 20.38 16.45–24.30 15.36–25.39 | 10.09 6.53–13.65 5.57–14.61 | 30.46 22.98–37.95 20.93–40.00 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 13.96 11.02–16.91 10.19–17.74 | 6.84 4.16–9.52 3.42–10.26 | 20.81 15.18–26.43 13.62–28.00 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.81 3.93–7.70 3.39–8.24 | 2.58 0.93–4.23 0.43–4.72 | 8.39 4.86–11.93 3.82–12.96 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.53 5.32–9.74 4.74–10.32 | 3.27 1.27–5.27 0.74–5.80 | 10.80 6.59–15.01 5.48–16.12 | 88% |
| Possession % | 57.60 50.81–64.39 49.14–66.06 | 43.36 36.57–50.14 34.90–51.82 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 589 522–656 504–675 | 440 374–506 356–524 | 1029 895–1163 860–1199 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.57 76.54–84.60 75.25–85.89 | 74.18 69.85–78.50 68.54–79.81 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 9.93 7.09–12.77 6.34–13.53 | 9.73 6.78–12.67 6.03–13.42 | 19.66 13.88–25.44 12.37–26.94 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.94 | 3.62 1.37–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 49% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.16–5.63 | 34% 25% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 4.71 3.16–6.27 2.73–6.70 | 7.29 4.30–10.28 3.49–11.10 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.