UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.093.62safe0.56–2.501.24–2.941.80–5.44safer0.31–2.751.01–3.171.32–5.92
Shots on target
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.345.6611.00safe3.48–7.203.91–7.407.39–14.60safer2.99–7.693.45–7.866.44–15.56
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9714.7528.72safe10.04–17.8911.19–18.3121.23–36.20safer8.95–18.9810.23–19.2719.18–38.25
Shots in box
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8310.0518.87safe5.88–11.777.37–12.7313.25–24.50safer5.06–12.606.63–13.4711.68–26.06
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.697.57safe2.00–5.762.03–5.344.03–11.10safer1.45–6.301.54–5.833.00–12.14
Corners
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.524.969.48safe2.31–6.732.96–6.965.27–13.69safer1.73–7.312.43–7.494.16–14.80
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.5056.31safe37.71–51.2949.53–63.10safer36.04–52.9647.86–64.77
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4585781035safe390–525511–644902–1169safer372–543494–662866–1205
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction78.5982.55safe74.56–82.6278.22–86.87safer73.26–83.9176.91–88.18
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5210.3920.91safe7.68–13.357.45–13.3415.13–26.69safer6.92–14.116.70–14.0913.63–28.20
Offsides
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.586.21safe1.46–3.782.49–4.683.96–8.46safer1.16–4.092.20–4.973.37–9.05
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.703.42safe0.67–2.770.57–2.831.25–5.60safer0.41–3.040.28–3.120.69–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.136.90safe2.33–5.211.57–4.693.91–9.89safer1.95–5.591.15–5.113.10–10.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 2.09 1.24–2.94 1.01–3.17 | 3.62 1.80–5.44 1.32–5.92 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.20 2.99–7.69 | 5.66 3.91–7.40 3.45–7.86 | 11.00 7.39–14.60 6.44–15.56 | 40% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.97 10.04–17.89 8.95–18.98 | 14.75 11.19–18.31 10.23–19.27 | 28.72 21.23–36.20 19.18–38.25 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.83 5.88–11.77 5.06–12.60 | 10.05 7.37–12.73 6.63–13.47 | 18.87 13.25–24.50 11.68–26.06 | 35% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 2.00–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.69 2.03–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 3.00–12.14 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 4.52 2.31–6.73 1.73–7.31 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.49 | 9.48 5.27–13.69 4.16–14.80 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Possession % | 44.50 37.71–51.29 36.04–52.96 | 56.31 49.53–63.10 47.86–64.77 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 458 390–525 372–543 | 578 511–644 494–662 | 1035 902–1169 866–1205 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.59 74.56–82.62 73.26–83.91 | 82.55 78.22–86.87 76.91–88.18 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 10.39 7.45–13.34 6.70–14.09 | 20.91 15.13–26.69 13.63–28.20 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.62 1.46–3.78 1.16–4.09 | 3.58 2.49–4.68 2.20–4.97 | 6.21 3.96–8.46 3.37–9.05 | 28% 15% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.42 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.77 2.33–5.21 1.95–5.59 | 3.13 1.57–4.69 1.15–5.11 | 6.90 3.91–9.89 3.10–10.71 | 52% 15% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.