Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.202.73safe0.57–2.500.34–2.050.91–4.55safer0.31–2.750.11–2.280.43–5.03
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.638.77safe3.28–7.011.88–5.375.17–12.38safer2.79–7.501.42–5.834.21–13.33
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0710.2527.32safe13.15–20.996.69–13.8119.83–34.81safer12.05–22.095.73–14.7717.78–36.86
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.997.0818.07safe8.05–13.934.40–9.7612.44–23.69safer7.22–14.763.66–10.5010.88–25.26
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.197.86safe2.78–6.551.54–4.854.32–11.39safer2.24–7.091.05–5.343.29–12.43
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.033.809.82safe3.81–8.241.80–5.805.61–14.04safer3.24–8.811.26–6.334.50–15.14
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction49.7849.78safe42.99–56.5742.99–56.56safer41.32–58.2441.32–58.24
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction437466903safe369–504400–533769–1036safer351–522382–550733–1072
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction71.7173.59safe67.68–75.7469.27–77.91safer66.39–77.0367.96–79.22
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1112.5523.66safe8.27–13.959.60–15.4917.87–29.44safer7.51–14.708.85–16.2416.37–30.94
Offsides
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.272.87safe0.44–2.760.18–2.370.62–5.12safer0.14–3.060.00–2.650.03–5.71
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.143.94safe0.75–2.851.01–3.271.76–6.12safer0.49–3.120.72–3.561.21–6.68
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.275.67safe0.96–3.831.72–4.832.67–8.66safer0.57–4.221.29–5.251.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.57–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.28–7.01 2.79–7.50 | 3.63 1.88–5.37 1.42–5.83 | 8.77 5.17–12.38 4.21–13.33 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 17.07 13.15–20.99 12.05–22.09 | 10.25 6.69–13.81 5.73–14.77 | 27.32 19.83–34.81 17.78–36.86 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.99 8.05–13.93 7.22–14.76 | 7.08 4.40–9.76 3.66–10.50 | 18.07 12.44–23.69 10.88–25.26 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.78–6.55 2.24–7.09 | 3.19 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.86 4.32–11.39 3.29–12.43 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.81–8.24 3.24–8.81 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.26–6.33 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 49.78 42.99–56.57 41.32–58.24 | 49.78 42.99–56.56 41.32–58.24 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 437 369–504 351–522 | 466 400–533 382–550 | 903 769–1036 733–1072 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.71 67.68–75.74 66.39–77.03 | 73.59 69.27–77.91 67.96–79.22 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.27–13.95 7.51–14.70 | 12.55 9.60–15.49 8.85–16.24 | 23.66 17.87–29.44 16.37–30.94 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.27 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.65 | 2.87 0.62–5.12 0.03–5.71 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.67 2.67–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.