UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.210.813.02safe1.24–3.180.00–1.671.20–4.85safer0.99–3.430.00–1.900.72–5.33
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.752.969.71safe4.89–8.611.22–4.706.11–13.32safer4.40–9.100.75–5.175.15–14.27
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.719.0928.80safe15.78–23.635.53–12.6621.31–36.29safer14.69–24.724.57–13.6119.26–38.34
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.645.7718.41safe9.70–15.583.09–8.4512.78–24.03safer8.87–16.412.35–9.1811.22–25.60
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.192.507.68safe3.31–7.070.84–4.154.15–11.22safer2.76–7.610.35–4.643.11–12.26
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.033.4410.46safe4.81–9.241.44–5.446.25–14.68safer4.24–9.810.90–5.975.14–15.78
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.9739.02safe54.18–67.7632.23–45.80safer52.51–69.4330.56–47.47
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction513318831safe446–580252–385697–965safer427–598234–402662–1000
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction73.6367.27safe69.60–77.6662.94–71.59safer68.31–78.9561.63–72.90
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3813.4525.82safe9.54–15.2110.50–16.3920.04–31.61safer8.78–15.979.75–17.1418.54–33.11
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.272.95safe0.53–2.850.17–2.360.70–5.21safer0.22–3.150.00–2.650.11–5.80
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.203.89safe0.64–2.741.07–3.321.71–6.07safer0.38–3.010.78–3.621.15–6.62
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.074.146.21safe0.64–3.512.58–5.693.22–9.20safer0.25–3.902.16–6.122.41–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.21 1.24–3.18 0.99–3.43 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.75 4.89–8.61 4.40–9.10 | 2.96 1.22–4.70 0.75–5.17 | 9.71 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.27 | 86% |
| Total shots | 19.71 15.78–23.63 14.69–24.72 | 9.09 5.53–12.66 4.57–13.61 | 28.80 21.31–36.29 19.26–38.34 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.64 9.70–15.58 8.87–16.41 | 5.77 3.09–8.45 2.35–9.18 | 18.41 12.78–24.03 11.22–25.60 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.19 3.31–7.07 2.76–7.61 | 2.50 0.84–4.15 0.35–4.64 | 7.68 4.15–11.22 3.11–12.26 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.03 4.81–9.24 4.24–9.81 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.90–5.97 | 10.46 6.25–14.68 5.14–15.78 | 83% |
| Possession % | 60.97 54.18–67.76 52.51–69.43 | 39.02 32.23–45.80 30.56–47.47 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 513 446–580 427–598 | 318 252–385 234–402 | 831 697–965 662–1000 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.63 69.60–77.66 68.31–78.95 | 67.27 62.94–71.59 61.63–72.90 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.38 9.54–15.21 8.78–15.97 | 13.45 10.50–16.39 9.75–17.14 | 25.82 20.04–31.61 18.54–33.11 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.22–3.15 | 1.27 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.95 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.20 1.07–3.32 0.78–3.62 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.62 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 4.14 2.58–5.69 2.16–6.12 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.01 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+