UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.203.11safe0.94–2.870.35–2.061.29–4.93safer0.69–3.130.12–2.290.81–5.41
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.713.959.65safe3.84–7.572.20–5.696.05–13.26safer3.35–8.061.74–6.155.09–14.21
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8911.2927.19safe11.97–19.827.73–14.8519.70–34.67safer10.88–20.916.77–15.8117.65–36.72
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.907.1618.06safe7.96–13.844.48–9.8412.44–23.68safer7.13–14.673.74–10.5810.87–25.25
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.087.37safe2.41–6.171.42–4.733.83–10.90safer1.87–6.720.93–5.222.80–11.94
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.004.0710.07safe3.79–8.212.07–6.075.86–14.29safer3.21–8.791.54–6.604.75–15.39
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.1946.75safe47.40–60.9839.97–53.54safer45.73–62.6538.30–55.21
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction494441935safe427–561375–508802–1069safer409–579357–525766–1105
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction76.8974.83safe72.86–80.9270.51–79.15safer71.56–82.2169.20–80.46
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4413.5125.95safe9.60–15.2810.57–16.4520.17–31.73safer8.84–16.039.82–17.2018.66–33.23
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.763.47safe0.55–2.870.67–2.861.22–5.73safer0.25–3.170.38–3.140.63–6.32
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.214.23safe0.98–3.081.08–3.342.06–6.41safer0.71–3.340.79–3.631.50–6.97
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
32%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.536.39safe1.42–4.291.98–5.093.39–9.38safer1.03–4.681.55–5.522.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.87 0.69–3.13 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.71 3.84–7.57 3.35–8.06 | 3.95 2.20–5.69 1.74–6.15 | 9.65 6.05–13.26 5.09–14.21 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.89 11.97–19.82 10.88–20.91 | 11.29 7.73–14.85 6.77–15.81 | 27.19 19.70–34.67 17.65–36.72 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.90 7.96–13.84 7.13–14.67 | 7.16 4.48–9.84 3.74–10.58 | 18.06 12.44–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.41–6.17 1.87–6.72 | 3.08 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 7.37 3.83–10.90 2.80–11.94 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.79–8.21 3.21–8.79 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.54–6.60 | 10.07 5.86–14.29 4.75–15.39 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 54.19 47.40–60.98 45.73–62.65 | 46.75 39.97–53.54 38.30–55.21 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 494 427–561 409–579 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 935 802–1069 766–1105 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.89 72.86–80.92 71.56–82.21 | 74.83 70.51–79.15 69.20–80.46 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.28 8.84–16.03 | 13.51 10.57–16.45 9.82–17.20 | 25.95 20.17–31.73 18.66–33.23 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.14 | 3.47 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.23 2.06–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.53 1.98–5.09 1.55–5.52 | 6.39 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 32% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+