UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 3·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.650.823.47safe1.68–3.620.00–1.671.65–5.29safer1.43–3.870.00–1.901.17–5.77
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.853.0410.88safe5.98–9.711.29–4.787.28–14.49safer5.49–10.200.83–5.246.32–15.44
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.799.4031.19safe17.87–25.725.84–12.9623.70–38.68safer16.78–26.814.88–13.9221.65–40.73
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.285.5819.85safe11.33–17.222.90–8.2614.23–25.48safer10.50–18.052.16–9.0012.66–27.04
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.232.367.58safe3.34–7.110.70–4.014.05–11.12safer2.80–7.650.21–4.503.01–12.15
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.643.5511.19safe5.43–9.851.55–5.556.98–15.40safer4.85–10.431.02–6.085.87–16.51
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.3735.98safe57.58–71.1629.19–42.76safer55.91–72.8327.52–44.44
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction559300860safe492–626234–367726–993safer474–645216–384690–1029
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction79.3768.38safe75.34–83.4064.06–72.71safer74.05–84.6962.75–74.01
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7314.3526.08safe8.89–14.5711.40–17.2920.30–31.86safer8.14–15.3310.65–18.0418.79–33.37
Offsides
36%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.683.27safe0.43–2.750.59–2.781.02–5.53safer0.13–3.050.30–3.070.43–6.12
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.153.71safe0.52–2.611.02–3.281.53–5.89safer0.25–2.880.73–3.570.98–6.45
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.295.017.30safe0.86–3.733.45–6.564.31–10.29safer0.47–4.123.03–6.993.50–11.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.65 1.68–3.62 1.43–3.87 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.47 1.65–5.29 1.17–5.77 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.85 5.98–9.71 5.49–10.20 | 3.04 1.29–4.78 0.83–5.24 | 10.88 7.28–14.49 6.32–15.44 | 91% |
| Total shots | 21.79 17.87–25.72 16.78–26.81 | 9.40 5.84–12.96 4.88–13.92 | 31.19 23.70–38.68 21.65–40.73 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.28 11.33–17.22 10.50–18.05 | 5.58 2.90–8.26 2.16–9.00 | 19.85 14.23–25.48 12.66–27.04 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.23 3.34–7.11 2.80–7.65 | 2.36 0.70–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.15 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.64 5.43–9.85 4.85–10.43 | 3.55 1.55–5.55 1.02–6.08 | 11.19 6.98–15.40 5.87–16.51 | 86% |
| Possession % | 64.37 57.58–71.16 55.91–72.83 | 35.98 29.19–42.76 27.52–44.44 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 559 492–626 474–645 | 300 234–367 216–384 | 860 726–993 690–1029 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.37 75.34–83.40 74.05–84.69 | 68.38 64.06–72.71 62.75–74.01 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 14.35 11.40–17.29 10.65–18.04 | 26.08 20.30–31.86 18.79–33.37 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.07 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 36% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 5.01 3.45–6.56 3.03–6.99 | 7.30 4.31–10.29 3.50–11.11 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+