Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.272.90safe0.67–2.600.41–2.121.08–4.73safer0.42–2.850.19–2.350.60–5.21
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.059.26safe3.34–7.072.31–5.805.65–12.86safer2.85–7.561.85–6.264.70–13.82
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1411.4226.56safe11.22–19.077.86–14.9819.08–34.05safer10.13–20.166.90–15.9417.03–36.10
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.777.5717.33safe6.83–12.714.88–10.2511.71–22.96safer6.00–13.544.15–10.9810.14–24.52
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.107.29safe2.31–6.081.44–4.753.76–10.83safer1.77–6.620.95–5.242.72–11.87
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.544.309.84safe3.33–7.762.30–6.305.63–14.06safer2.76–8.331.77–6.844.52–15.16
Possession %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction53.3547.74safe46.56–60.1440.95–54.52safer44.89–61.8139.28–56.19
Passes
70%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction484420904safe417–552354–486771–1038safer399–570336–504735–1074
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction69.5070.00safe65.47–73.5365.68–74.32safer64.18–74.8264.37–75.63
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5512.8224.37safe8.71–14.399.87–15.7618.59–30.15safer7.96–15.149.13–16.5117.08–31.65
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.913.36safe0.29–2.610.82–3.011.10–5.61safer0.00–2.910.53–3.290.51–6.20
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.184.16safe0.93–3.031.05–3.311.99–6.34safer0.67–3.300.76–3.601.43–6.90
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.406.23safe1.39–4.261.85–4.963.24–9.22safer1.00–4.651.42–5.382.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.60 0.42–2.85 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.34–7.07 2.85–7.56 | 4.05 2.31–5.80 1.85–6.26 | 9.26 5.65–12.86 4.70–13.82 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.14 11.22–19.07 10.13–20.16 | 11.42 7.86–14.98 6.90–15.94 | 26.56 19.08–34.05 17.03–36.10 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.77 6.83–12.71 6.00–13.54 | 7.57 4.88–10.25 4.15–10.98 | 17.33 11.71–22.96 10.14–24.52 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.31–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 7.29 3.76–10.83 2.72–11.87 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.54 3.33–7.76 2.76–8.33 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.77–6.84 | 9.84 5.63–14.06 4.52–15.16 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 53.35 46.56–60.14 44.89–61.81 | 47.74 40.95–54.52 39.28–56.19 | — | 61% 35% |
| Passes | 484 417–552 399–570 | 420 354–486 336–504 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 70% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.50 65.47–73.53 64.18–74.82 | 70.00 65.68–74.32 64.37–75.63 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.71–14.39 7.96–15.14 | 12.82 9.87–15.76 9.13–16.51 | 24.37 18.59–30.15 17.08–31.65 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.91 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.29 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.16 1.99–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.43–10.04 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+