Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.703.40safe0.73–2.670.85–2.561.58–5.22safer0.48–2.920.62–2.781.10–5.70
Shots on target
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.535.4410.97safe3.67–7.403.70–7.187.37–14.58safer3.18–7.893.23–7.656.41–15.53
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2914.8431.13safe12.36–20.2111.28–18.4023.64–38.62safer11.27–21.3010.32–19.3621.59–40.67
Shots in box
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.009.4720.47safe8.06–13.946.79–12.1514.85–26.09safer7.23–14.776.05–12.8913.28–27.66
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.483.927.40safe1.59–5.362.27–5.583.86–10.93safer1.05–5.901.78–6.072.83–11.97
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.525.2110.72safe3.30–7.733.21–7.216.51–14.94safer2.73–8.302.68–7.745.40–16.04
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.6655.15safe38.87–52.4548.36–61.93safer37.20–54.1246.69–63.61
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction420522942safe353–487455–588808–1075safer335–505438–606772–1111
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction70.1878.75safe66.15–74.2174.42–83.07safer64.86–75.5073.11–84.38
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4811.1121.59safe7.65–13.328.16–14.0515.81–27.37safer6.89–14.087.41–14.8014.30–28.88
Offsides
68%
15%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction3.201.674.87safe2.04–4.360.58–2.762.62–7.12safer1.74–4.660.29–3.052.03–7.71
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.843.57safe0.68–2.780.71–2.961.39–5.75safer0.42–3.050.42–3.260.83–6.30
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.676.98safe1.88–4.752.11–5.223.99–9.97safer1.49–5.141.69–5.653.18–10.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.70 0.85–2.56 0.62–2.78 | 3.40 1.58–5.22 1.10–5.70 | 39% 23% 39% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.40 3.18–7.89 | 5.44 3.70–7.18 3.23–7.65 | 10.97 7.37–14.58 6.41–15.53 | 45% 43% |
| Total shots | 16.29 12.36–20.21 11.27–21.30 | 14.84 11.28–18.40 10.32–19.36 | 31.13 23.64–38.62 21.59–40.67 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 11.00 8.06–13.94 7.23–14.77 | 9.47 6.79–12.15 6.05–12.89 | 20.47 14.85–26.09 13.28–27.66 | 59% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.48 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.40 3.86–10.93 2.83–11.97 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 5.21 3.21–7.21 2.68–7.74 | 10.72 6.51–14.94 5.40–16.04 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 45.66 38.87–52.45 37.20–54.12 | 55.15 48.36–61.93 46.69–63.61 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–505 | 522 455–588 438–606 | 942 808–1075 772–1111 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.18 66.15–74.21 64.86–75.50 | 78.75 74.42–83.07 73.11–84.38 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.48 7.65–13.32 6.89–14.08 | 11.11 8.16–14.05 7.41–14.80 | 21.59 15.81–27.37 14.30–28.88 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 3.20 2.04–4.36 1.74–4.66 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 4.87 2.62–7.12 2.03–7.71 | 68% 15% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.84 0.71–2.96 0.42–3.26 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.98 3.99–9.97 3.18–10.79 | 37% 15% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.