UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.973.30safe0.37–2.301.11–2.821.48–5.12safer0.11–2.550.88–3.051.00–5.60
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.7410.63safe3.03–6.754.00–7.487.03–14.24safer2.54–7.243.53–7.956.07–15.19
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1915.7627.95safe8.26–16.1112.20–19.3320.47–35.44safer7.17–17.2111.24–20.2918.41–37.49
Shots in box
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5510.3618.90safe5.61–11.497.68–13.0413.28–24.53safer4.78–12.326.94–13.7711.71–26.09
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.084.067.15safe1.20–4.972.41–5.723.61–10.68safer0.66–5.511.92–6.212.58–11.72
Corners
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.304.949.24safe2.08–6.512.94–6.945.03–13.45safer1.51–7.082.41–7.473.92–14.56
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.3863.88safe29.59–43.1757.09–70.66safer27.92–44.8455.42–72.33
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction331608939safe263–398542–675805–1072safer245–416524–692769–1108
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction74.1283.86safe70.09–78.1579.54–88.19safer68.80–79.4478.23–89.49
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7810.1321.91safe8.94–14.627.18–13.0716.13–27.69safer8.19–15.386.43–13.8214.62–29.20
Offsides
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.806.57safe2.61–4.931.71–3.904.32–8.82safer2.31–5.231.42–4.183.73–9.41
Yellow cards
42%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.974.03safe1.01–3.110.84–3.101.85–6.21safer0.75–3.380.55–3.391.29–6.76
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.85
GK saves
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.196.95safe2.33–5.201.63–4.753.96–9.95safer1.94–5.591.21–5.173.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.37–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.97 1.11–2.82 0.88–3.05 | 3.30 1.48–5.12 1.00–5.60 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 5.74 4.00–7.48 3.53–7.95 | 10.63 7.03–14.24 6.07–15.19 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.19 8.26–16.11 7.17–17.21 | 15.76 12.20–19.33 11.24–20.29 | 27.95 20.47–35.44 18.41–37.49 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.49 4.78–12.32 | 10.36 7.68–13.04 6.94–13.77 | 18.90 13.28–24.53 11.71–26.09 | 30% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.08 1.20–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 4.06 2.41–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 7.15 3.61–10.68 2.58–11.72 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.30 2.08–6.51 1.51–7.08 | 4.94 2.94–6.94 2.41–7.47 | 9.24 5.03–13.45 3.92–14.56 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Possession % | 36.38 29.59–43.17 27.92–44.84 | 63.88 57.09–70.66 55.42–72.33 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 331 263–398 245–416 | 608 542–675 524–692 | 939 805–1072 769–1108 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.12 70.09–78.15 68.80–79.44 | 83.86 79.54–88.19 78.23–89.49 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 10.13 7.18–13.07 6.43–13.82 | 21.91 16.13–27.69 14.62–29.20 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 3.77 2.61–4.93 2.31–5.23 | 2.80 1.71–3.90 1.42–4.18 | 6.57 4.32–8.82 3.73–9.41 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.75–3.38 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.29–6.76 | 42% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 3.19 1.63–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 6.95 3.96–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 51% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.