Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.173.30safe1.16–3.090.32–2.031.47–5.12safer0.91–3.340.09–2.250.99–5.60
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.3410.08safe3.88–7.602.60–6.096.48–13.69safer3.39–8.092.13–6.555.52–14.64
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2311.8727.10safe11.30–19.158.31–15.4419.61–34.59safer10.21–20.257.35–16.3917.56–36.64
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.727.7118.43safe7.77–13.665.03–10.3912.81–24.05safer6.94–14.494.30–11.1311.24–25.62
Blocked shots
60%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.223.057.27safe2.34–6.101.40–4.703.74–10.81safer1.80–6.650.91–5.202.70–11.85
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.623.919.53safe3.41–7.831.91–5.915.32–13.75safer2.83–8.411.38–6.454.21–14.85
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.7042.99safe50.91–64.4936.21–49.78safer49.24–66.1634.54–51.45
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction554419973safe487–622352–485839–1107safer469–640335–503804–1142
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction85.6777.88safe81.64–89.6973.55–82.20safer80.34–90.9972.25–83.51
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9511.1720.12safe6.11–11.798.23–14.1214.34–25.91safer5.36–12.547.48–14.8712.84–27.41
Offsides
56%
17%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.882.004.87safe1.71–4.040.90–3.092.62–7.13safer1.41–4.340.62–3.382.03–7.71
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.923.33safe0.36–2.460.79–3.051.15–5.51safer0.09–2.720.50–3.340.59–6.06
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.120.16safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.350.00–0.440.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.516.61safe1.67–4.541.95–5.073.62–9.60safer1.28–4.921.53–5.492.81–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.16–3.09 0.91–3.34 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.25 | 3.30 1.47–5.12 0.99–5.60 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.74 3.88–7.60 3.39–8.09 | 4.34 2.60–6.09 2.13–6.55 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.30–19.15 10.21–20.25 | 11.87 8.31–15.44 7.35–16.39 | 27.10 19.61–34.59 17.56–36.64 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.77–13.66 6.94–14.49 | 7.71 5.03–10.39 4.30–11.13 | 18.43 12.81–24.05 11.24–25.62 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.10 1.80–6.65 | 3.05 1.40–4.70 0.91–5.20 | 7.27 3.74–10.81 2.70–11.85 | 60% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.41–7.83 2.83–8.41 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.38–6.45 | 9.53 5.32–13.75 4.21–14.85 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 57.70 50.91–64.49 49.24–66.16 | 42.99 36.21–49.78 34.54–51.45 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 554 487–622 469–640 | 419 352–485 335–503 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.67 81.64–89.69 80.34–90.99 | 77.88 73.55–82.20 72.25–83.51 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 8.95 6.11–11.79 5.36–12.54 | 11.17 8.23–14.12 7.48–14.87 | 20.12 14.34–25.91 12.84–27.41 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.88 1.71–4.04 1.41–4.34 | 2.00 0.90–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 4.87 2.62–7.13 2.03–7.71 | 56% 17% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.06 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.92 | 3.51 1.95–5.07 1.53–5.49 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.41 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+