UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.313.48safe1.20–3.140.46–2.171.66–5.31safer0.95–3.390.23–2.401.18–5.79
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.624.4511.06safe4.75–8.482.71–6.197.46–14.67safer4.26–8.972.24–6.666.50–15.62
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction19.3012.0431.34safe15.38–23.238.48–15.6123.86–38.83safer14.28–24.327.52–16.5621.81–40.88
Shots in box
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction12.588.3020.88safe9.63–15.525.62–10.9815.26–26.50safer8.80–16.354.89–11.7213.69–28.07
Blocked shots
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.203.338.53safe3.32–7.081.68–4.984.99–12.06safer2.77–7.631.18–5.473.96–13.10
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.884.1410.02safe3.67–8.092.14–6.145.81–14.24safer3.09–8.671.61–6.684.70–15.34
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.8842.48safe52.09–65.6735.69–49.26safer50.42–67.3434.02–50.93
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction565411976safe498–633344–477843–1110safer480–651327–495807–1146
Pass accuracy %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction86.2280.61safe82.19–90.2576.29–84.93safer80.90–91.5474.98–86.24
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1310.4619.59safe6.29–11.977.51–13.4013.80–25.37safer5.53–12.726.77–14.1512.30–26.87
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.843.87safe0.87–3.200.74–2.931.62–6.13safer0.57–3.500.46–3.221.03–6.72
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.873.45safe0.53–2.630.74–2.991.27–5.63safer0.27–2.900.45–3.290.71–6.19
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.044.077.11safe1.60–4.482.51–5.624.11–10.10safer1.22–4.862.08–6.053.30–10.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.20–3.14 0.95–3.39 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 3.48 1.66–5.31 1.18–5.79 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Shots on target | 6.62 4.75–8.48 4.26–8.97 | 4.45 2.71–6.19 2.24–6.66 | 11.06 7.46–14.67 6.50–15.62 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 19.30 15.38–23.23 14.28–24.32 | 12.04 8.48–15.61 7.52–16.56 | 31.34 23.86–38.83 21.81–40.88 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.58 9.63–15.52 8.80–16.35 | 8.30 5.62–10.98 4.89–11.72 | 20.88 15.26–26.50 13.69–28.07 | 80% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 5.20 3.32–7.08 2.77–7.63 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 8.53 4.99–12.06 3.96–13.10 | 68% 21% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.67–8.09 3.09–8.67 | 4.14 2.14–6.14 1.61–6.68 | 10.02 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.34 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 58.88 52.09–65.67 50.42–67.34 | 42.48 35.69–49.26 34.02–50.93 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 565 498–633 480–651 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 976 843–1110 807–1146 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.22 82.19–90.25 80.90–91.54 | 80.61 76.29–84.93 74.98–86.24 | — | 75% 22% |
| Fouls | 9.13 6.29–11.97 5.53–12.72 | 10.46 7.51–13.40 6.77–14.15 | 19.59 13.80–25.37 12.30–26.87 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.87–3.20 0.57–3.50 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.87 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.87 0.74–2.99 0.45–3.29 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.71–6.19 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.60–4.48 1.22–4.86 | 4.07 2.51–5.62 2.08–6.05 | 7.11 4.11–10.10 3.30–10.91 | 28% 14% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+