Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.412.71safe0.33–2.260.56–2.260.88–4.53safer0.08–2.520.33–2.490.40–5.01
Shots on target
49%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.168.75safe2.72–6.452.42–5.915.14–12.35safer2.23–6.941.96–6.374.19–13.31
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8311.7725.60safe9.91–17.768.21–15.3318.11–33.09safer8.81–18.857.25–16.2916.06–35.14
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.348.0716.41safe5.40–11.285.39–10.7510.79–22.03safer4.57–12.114.65–11.499.22–23.60
Blocked shots
52%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.447.55safe2.22–5.991.79–5.104.01–11.08safer1.68–6.531.30–5.592.98–12.12
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.419.61safe2.98–7.412.41–6.415.40–13.82safer2.41–7.981.88–6.954.29–14.93
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.9251.21safe42.13–55.7144.43–58.00safer40.46–57.3842.76–59.67
Passes
48%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction423428851safe356–491361–494718–985safer338–509344–512682–1021
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction71.7172.52safe67.68–75.7468.20–76.84safer66.39–77.0366.89–78.15
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2712.4924.76safe9.43–15.119.55–15.4418.98–30.55safer8.68–15.868.80–16.1917.48–32.05
Offsides
20%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.393.74safe0.19–2.511.30–3.481.48–5.99safer0.00–2.811.01–3.770.89–6.58
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.354.33safe0.93–3.031.22–3.482.15–6.51safer0.67–3.300.93–3.771.60–7.07
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.882.955.83safe1.44–4.311.40–4.512.84–8.82safer1.05–4.700.97–4.932.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.52 | 1.41 0.56–2.26 0.33–2.49 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 35% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.72–6.45 2.23–6.94 | 4.16 2.42–5.91 1.96–6.37 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.19–13.31 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.83 9.91–17.76 8.81–18.85 | 11.77 8.21–15.33 7.25–16.29 | 25.60 18.11–33.09 16.06–35.14 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.34 5.40–11.28 4.57–12.11 | 8.07 5.39–10.75 4.65–11.49 | 16.41 10.79–22.03 9.22–23.60 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 3.44 1.79–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 7.55 4.01–11.08 2.98–12.12 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.41 2.41–7.98 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.95 | 9.61 5.40–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 48.92 42.13–55.71 40.46–57.38 | 51.21 44.43–58.00 42.76–59.67 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 423 356–491 338–509 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 851 718–985 682–1021 | 48% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.71 67.68–75.74 66.39–77.03 | 72.52 68.20–76.84 66.89–78.15 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 12.27 9.43–15.11 8.68–15.86 | 12.49 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 24.76 18.98–30.55 17.48–32.05 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 2.39 1.30–3.48 1.01–3.77 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.33 2.15–6.51 1.60–7.07 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.