UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 4·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.650.823.47safe1.68–3.610.00–1.681.65–5.29safer1.43–3.870.00–1.911.17–5.77
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.272.8710.14safe5.41–9.141.12–4.616.54–13.75safer4.92–9.630.66–5.075.58–14.70
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.608.3326.93safe14.67–22.524.77–11.8919.44–34.42safer13.58–23.613.81–12.8517.39–36.47
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.305.0718.38safe10.36–16.252.39–7.7512.75–24.00safer9.53–17.081.65–8.4911.19–25.57
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.682.096.77safe2.80–6.560.44–3.753.24–10.31safer2.25–7.100.00–4.242.20–11.34
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.812.919.72safe4.59–9.020.91–4.915.51–13.93safer4.02–9.590.38–5.454.40–15.04
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.0738.98safe54.28–67.8632.20–45.77safer52.61–69.5330.53–47.44
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction557336893safe489–624270–403759–1027safer471–642252–420724–1062
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction79.9370.69safe75.90–83.9566.37–75.01safer74.60–85.2565.06–76.32
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1110.3022.40safe9.27–14.947.35–13.2416.62–28.18safer8.51–15.706.60–13.9915.12–29.69
Offsides
55%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.551.774.32safe1.39–3.710.68–2.872.07–6.57safer1.08–4.010.39–3.151.48–7.16
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.283.85safe0.52–2.611.16–3.411.67–6.03safer0.25–2.880.86–3.701.11–6.59
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.506.54safe0.60–3.482.95–6.063.55–9.53safer0.22–3.862.52–6.482.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.65 1.68–3.61 1.43–3.87 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.47 1.65–5.29 1.17–5.77 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.27 5.41–9.14 4.92–9.63 | 2.87 1.12–4.61 0.66–5.07 | 10.14 6.54–13.75 5.58–14.70 | 89% |
| Total shots | 18.60 14.67–22.52 13.58–23.61 | 8.33 4.77–11.89 3.81–12.85 | 26.93 19.44–34.42 17.39–36.47 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.30 10.36–16.25 9.53–17.08 | 5.07 2.39–7.75 1.65–8.49 | 18.38 12.75–24.00 11.19–25.57 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.68 2.80–6.56 2.25–7.10 | 2.09 0.44–3.75 0.00–4.24 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.81 4.59–9.02 4.02–9.59 | 2.91 0.91–4.91 0.38–5.45 | 9.72 5.51–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 87% |
| Possession % | 61.07 54.28–67.86 52.61–69.53 | 38.98 32.20–45.77 30.53–47.44 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 557 489–624 471–642 | 336 270–403 252–420 | 893 759–1027 724–1062 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.93 75.90–83.95 74.60–85.25 | 70.69 66.37–75.01 65.06–76.32 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.11 9.27–14.94 8.51–15.70 | 10.30 7.35–13.24 6.60–13.99 | 22.40 16.62–28.18 15.12–29.69 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 2.55 1.39–3.71 1.08–4.01 | 1.77 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.15 | 4.32 2.07–6.57 1.48–7.16 | 55% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.28 1.16–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.59 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.48 0.22–3.86 | 4.50 2.95–6.06 2.52–6.48 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.35 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.