UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.303.29safe0.01–1.951.45–3.161.46–5.11safer0.00–2.201.22–3.390.98–5.59
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.566.8410.40safe1.70–5.425.10–8.586.80–14.01safer1.21–5.914.63–9.055.84–14.96
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4017.3228.72safe7.48–15.3313.76–20.8821.23–36.21safer6.39–16.4212.80–21.8419.18–38.26
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3612.0619.41safe4.41–10.309.37–14.7413.79–25.03safer3.58–11.138.64–15.4712.22–26.60
Blocked shots
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.095.338.41safe1.20–4.973.67–6.984.88–11.95safer0.66–5.513.18–7.473.84–12.98
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.759.70safe1.73–6.163.75–7.755.48–13.91safer1.16–6.733.22–8.294.38–15.02
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction32.6667.98safe25.87–39.4561.20–74.77safer24.20–41.1259.53–76.44
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3536821035safe285–420616–749901–1169safer267–438598–766866–1204
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction66.2984.85safe62.26–70.3280.53–89.18safer60.97–71.6179.22–90.49
Fouls
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5010.3821.88safe8.66–14.347.43–13.3216.09–27.66safer7.90–15.096.68–14.0714.59–29.16
Offsides
55%
18%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.721.924.63safe1.56–3.880.82–3.012.38–6.89safer1.26–4.180.53–3.301.79–7.48
Yellow cards
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.233.28safe1.00–3.100.10–2.361.10–5.45safer0.73–3.360.00–2.650.54–6.01
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.416.44safe2.60–5.470.85–3.963.44–9.43safer2.21–5.860.42–4.392.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 2.30 1.45–3.16 1.22–3.39 | 3.29 1.46–5.11 0.98–5.59 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.70–5.42 1.21–5.91 | 6.84 5.10–8.58 4.63–9.05 | 10.40 6.80–14.01 5.84–14.96 | 81% |
| Total shots | 11.40 7.48–15.33 6.39–16.42 | 17.32 13.76–20.88 12.80–21.84 | 28.72 21.23–36.21 19.18–38.26 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 7.36 4.41–10.30 3.58–11.13 | 12.06 9.37–14.74 8.64–15.47 | 19.41 13.79–25.03 12.22–26.60 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.20–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 5.33 3.67–6.98 3.18–7.47 | 8.41 4.88–11.95 3.84–12.98 | 17% 73% |
| Corners | 3.94 1.73–6.16 1.16–6.73 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.29 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 32.66 25.87–39.45 24.20–41.12 | 67.98 61.20–74.77 59.53–76.44 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 353 285–420 267–438 | 682 616–749 598–766 | 1035 901–1169 866–1204 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.29 62.26–70.32 60.97–71.61 | 84.85 80.53–89.18 79.22–90.49 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.50 8.66–14.34 7.90–15.09 | 10.38 7.43–13.32 6.68–14.07 | 21.88 16.09–27.66 14.59–29.16 | 55% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.72 1.56–3.88 1.26–4.18 | 1.92 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.30 | 4.63 2.38–6.89 1.79–7.48 | 55% 18% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 1.23 0.10–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 3.28 1.10–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.03 2.60–5.47 2.21–5.86 | 2.41 0.85–3.96 0.42–4.39 | 6.44 3.44–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.