UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
21%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.912.002.91safe0.00–1.881.14–2.851.08–4.73safer0.00–2.130.91–3.080.60–5.21
Shots on target
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.295.869.15safe1.43–5.154.11–7.605.54–12.75safer0.94–5.643.65–8.074.59–13.71
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4615.1825.64safe6.54–14.3911.62–18.7418.15–33.13safer5.45–15.4810.66–19.7016.10–35.18
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1310.8616.98safe3.18–9.078.18–13.5411.36–22.61safer2.35–9.907.44–14.289.79–24.17
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.737.71safe1.10–4.873.08–6.384.18–11.25safer0.56–5.412.58–6.873.14–12.28
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.565.258.82safe1.35–5.783.25–7.254.61–13.03safer0.78–6.352.72–7.793.50–14.14
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.2961.38safe32.50–46.0854.60–68.17safer30.83–47.7552.93–69.84
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction388587975safe321–455520–653841–1108safer303–473503–671805–1144
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction67.0381.25safe63.00–71.0676.92–85.57safer61.71–72.3575.61–86.88
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7312.1324.87safe9.90–15.579.19–15.0819.08–30.65safer9.14–16.338.44–15.8317.58–32.15
Offsides
26%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.073.49safe0.26–2.580.97–3.161.23–5.74safer0.00–2.880.68–3.450.64–6.33
Yellow cards
53%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.581.884.46safe1.53–3.630.76–3.012.29–6.64safer1.26–3.900.46–3.301.73–7.20
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.416.31safe2.46–5.330.86–3.973.32–9.30safer2.07–5.720.43–4.402.51–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 2.00 1.14–2.85 0.91–3.08 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 16% 21% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.29 1.43–5.15 0.94–5.64 | 5.86 4.11–7.60 3.65–8.07 | 9.15 5.54–12.75 4.59–13.71 | 15% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.46 6.54–14.39 5.45–15.48 | 15.18 11.62–18.74 10.66–19.70 | 25.64 18.15–33.13 16.10–35.18 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.13 3.18–9.07 2.35–9.90 | 10.86 8.18–13.54 7.44–14.28 | 16.98 11.36–22.61 9.79–24.17 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.87 0.56–5.41 | 4.73 3.08–6.38 2.58–6.87 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 3.56 1.35–5.78 0.78–6.35 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.79 | 8.82 4.61–13.03 3.50–14.14 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 39.29 32.50–46.08 30.83–47.75 | 61.38 54.60–68.17 52.93–69.84 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 587 520–653 503–671 | 975 841–1108 805–1144 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.03 63.00–71.06 61.71–72.35 | 81.25 76.92–85.57 75.61–86.88 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.73 9.90–15.57 9.14–16.33 | 12.13 9.19–15.08 8.44–15.83 | 24.87 19.08–30.65 17.58–32.15 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.68–3.45 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 26% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.58 1.53–3.63 1.26–3.90 | 1.88 0.76–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 4.46 2.29–6.64 1.73–7.20 | 53% 19% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.90 2.46–5.33 2.07–5.72 | 2.41 0.86–3.97 0.43–4.40 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.11 | 65% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+