Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.082.233.30safe0.11–2.051.37–3.081.48–5.13safer0.00–2.301.14–3.311.00–5.61
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction4.016.5410.55safe2.15–5.884.79–8.286.94–14.15safer1.66–6.374.33–8.745.99–15.11
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1217.1029.21safe8.19–16.0413.54–20.6621.73–36.70safer7.10–17.1312.58–21.6219.68–38.75
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction8.0211.7219.74safe5.08–10.969.04–14.4014.12–25.36safer4.25–11.798.30–15.1412.55–26.93
Blocked shots
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.175.438.60safe1.29–5.053.78–7.085.07–12.14safer0.75–5.603.29–7.584.03–13.17
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.455.8010.25safe2.23–6.663.80–7.806.03–14.46safer1.66–7.233.27–8.334.93–15.57
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.0663.55safe30.27–43.8556.76–70.33safer28.60–45.5255.09–72.00
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction372605977safe305–440538–671844–1111safer287–458521–689808–1147
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction66.4882.66safe62.45–70.5178.34–86.98safer61.16–71.8077.03–88.29
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0811.0522.13safe8.24–13.918.10–13.9916.34–27.91safer7.48–14.677.36–14.7414.84–29.41
Offsides
58%
17%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.012.065.07safe1.85–4.170.96–3.152.81–7.32safer1.55–4.470.67–3.442.22–7.91
Yellow cards
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.553.63safe1.03–3.130.43–2.681.45–5.81safer0.76–3.390.13–2.970.90–6.37
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
64%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.072.666.73safe2.64–5.511.10–4.213.74–9.72safer2.25–5.900.68–4.642.93–10.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 2.23 1.37–3.08 1.14–3.31 | 3.30 1.48–5.13 1.00–5.61 | 17% 19% 63% |
| Shots on target | 4.01 2.15–5.88 1.66–6.37 | 6.54 4.79–8.28 4.33–8.74 | 10.55 6.94–14.15 5.99–15.11 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 12.12 8.19–16.04 7.10–17.13 | 17.10 13.54–20.66 12.58–21.62 | 29.21 21.73–36.70 19.68–38.75 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 8.02 5.08–10.96 4.25–11.79 | 11.72 9.04–14.40 8.30–15.14 | 19.74 14.12–25.36 12.55–26.93 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.75–5.60 | 5.43 3.78–7.08 3.29–7.58 | 8.60 5.07–12.14 4.03–13.17 | 17% 73% |
| Corners | 4.45 2.23–6.66 1.66–7.23 | 5.80 3.80–7.80 3.27–8.33 | 10.25 6.03–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 37.06 30.27–43.85 28.60–45.52 | 63.55 56.76–70.33 55.09–72.00 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 372 305–440 287–458 | 605 538–671 521–689 | 977 844–1111 808–1147 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.48 62.45–70.51 61.16–71.80 | 82.66 78.34–86.98 77.03–88.29 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 11.05 8.10–13.99 7.36–14.74 | 22.13 16.34–27.91 14.84–29.41 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 3.01 1.85–4.17 1.55–4.47 | 2.06 0.96–3.15 0.67–3.44 | 5.07 2.81–7.32 2.22–7.91 | 58% 17% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 1.55 0.43–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.07 2.64–5.51 2.25–5.90 | 2.66 1.10–4.21 0.68–4.64 | 6.73 3.74–9.72 2.93–10.54 | 64% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.