UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.403.29safe0.00–1.861.54–3.251.47–5.11safer0.00–2.111.32–3.480.99–5.59
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.187.4210.60safe1.31–5.045.68–9.166.99–14.20safer0.82–5.535.21–9.636.04–15.16
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2319.1428.37safe5.31–13.1615.58–22.7020.88–35.86safer4.22–14.2514.62–23.6618.83–37.91
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0112.8218.83safe3.06–8.9510.14–15.5013.20–24.45safer2.23–9.789.40–16.2411.64–26.02
Blocked shots
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.625.117.73safe0.73–4.503.46–6.764.19–11.26safer0.19–5.042.97–7.263.16–12.30
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.456.509.95safe1.24–5.664.50–8.505.73–14.16safer0.66–6.243.97–9.034.63–15.27
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction33.9567.48safe27.16–40.7460.69–74.26safer25.49–42.4159.02–75.93
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3617171078safe294–428651–783944–1212safer275–446633–801908–1247
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction67.0285.14safe62.99–71.0580.82–89.46safer61.70–72.3579.51–90.77
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0210.8220.84safe7.18–12.867.88–13.7615.06–26.62safer6.43–13.617.13–14.5113.55–28.13
Offsides
38%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.394.65safe1.10–3.421.30–3.482.40–6.91safer0.80–3.721.01–3.771.81–7.50
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.593.48safe0.84–2.940.46–2.721.30–5.66safer0.57–3.200.17–3.010.74–6.22
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.046.45safe2.98–5.850.48–3.603.46–9.45safer2.59–6.240.06–4.022.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 2.40 1.54–3.25 1.32–3.48 | 3.29 1.47–5.11 0.99–5.59 | 17% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.18 1.31–5.04 0.82–5.53 | 7.42 5.68–9.16 5.21–9.63 | 10.60 6.99–14.20 6.04–15.16 | 88% |
| Total shots | 9.23 5.31–13.16 4.22–14.25 | 19.14 15.58–22.70 14.62–23.66 | 28.37 20.88–35.86 18.83–37.91 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 6.01 3.06–8.95 2.23–9.78 | 12.82 10.14–15.50 9.40–16.24 | 18.83 13.20–24.45 11.64–26.02 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.62 0.73–4.50 0.19–5.04 | 5.11 3.46–6.76 2.97–7.26 | 7.73 4.19–11.26 3.16–12.30 | 14% 76% |
| Corners | 3.45 1.24–5.66 0.66–6.24 | 6.50 4.50–8.50 3.97–9.03 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 79% |
| Possession % | 33.95 27.16–40.74 25.49–42.41 | 67.48 60.69–74.26 59.02–75.93 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 361 294–428 275–446 | 717 651–783 633–801 | 1078 944–1212 908–1247 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.02 62.99–71.05 61.70–72.35 | 85.14 80.82–89.46 79.51–90.77 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 10.02 7.18–12.86 6.43–13.61 | 10.82 7.88–13.76 7.13–14.51 | 20.84 15.06–26.62 13.55–28.13 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.80–3.72 | 2.39 1.30–3.48 1.01–3.77 | 4.65 2.40–6.91 1.81–7.50 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.22 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.41 2.98–5.85 2.59–6.24 | 2.04 0.48–3.60 0.06–4.02 | 6.45 3.46–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+