Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.170.933.10safe1.20–3.140.08–1.791.28–4.92safer0.95–3.390.00–2.020.80–5.40
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.049.18safe4.28–8.011.29–4.785.57–12.78safer3.79–8.500.83–5.244.62–13.74
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.499.8427.33safe13.56–21.416.28–13.4119.84–34.82safer12.47–22.505.32–14.3717.79–36.87
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.986.0118.00safe9.04–14.933.33–8.6912.37–23.62safer8.21–15.752.60–9.4310.81–25.19
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.286.83safe2.67–6.440.63–3.933.30–10.37safer2.13–6.980.13–4.422.26–11.40
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.609.91safe4.09–8.521.60–5.605.69–14.12safer3.52–9.091.07–6.134.59–15.23
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.1138.23safe55.32–68.9031.44–45.01safer53.65–70.5729.77–46.68
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction608364973safe541–675298–431839–1106safer523–694280–448803–1142
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction77.8371.78safe73.80–81.8667.46–76.10safer72.51–83.1566.15–77.41
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2812.3623.64safe8.44–14.119.42–15.3117.86–29.42safer7.68–14.878.67–16.0616.35–30.93
Offsides
65%
16%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.564.45safe1.73–4.050.47–2.652.19–6.70safer1.42–4.350.18–2.941.60–7.29
Yellow cards
29%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.113.67safe0.51–2.610.99–3.241.50–5.85safer0.25–2.880.69–3.530.94–6.41
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.036.17safe0.70–3.572.47–5.593.17–9.16safer0.31–3.962.05–6.012.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.20–3.14 0.95–3.39 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.14 4.28–8.01 3.79–8.50 | 3.04 1.29–4.78 0.83–5.24 | 9.18 5.57–12.78 4.62–13.74 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.49 13.56–21.41 12.47–22.50 | 9.84 6.28–13.41 5.32–14.37 | 27.33 19.84–34.82 17.79–36.87 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.98 9.04–14.93 8.21–15.75 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.60–9.43 | 18.00 12.37–23.62 10.81–25.19 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.44 2.13–6.98 | 2.28 0.63–3.93 0.13–4.42 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.09–8.52 3.52–9.09 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.13 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 62.11 55.32–68.90 53.65–70.57 | 38.23 31.44–45.01 29.77–46.68 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 608 541–675 523–694 | 364 298–431 280–448 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.83 73.80–81.86 72.51–83.15 | 71.78 67.46–76.10 66.15–77.41 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.44–14.11 7.68–14.87 | 12.36 9.42–15.31 8.67–16.06 | 23.64 17.86–29.42 16.35–30.93 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.42–4.35 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 4.45 2.19–6.70 1.60–7.29 | 65% 16% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.67 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 29% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 4.03 2.47–5.59 2.05–6.01 | 6.17 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

