Ballileo
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·

Predicted match statistics

StatHomepred / safe / saferAwaypred / safe / saferTotalpred / safe / saferWho wins
Goals
2.17
1.20–3.14
0.95–3.39
0.93
0.08–1.79
0.00–2.02
3.10
1.28–4.92
0.80–5.40
66%
19%
15%
Shots on target
6.14
4.28–8.01
3.79–8.50
3.04
1.29–4.78
0.83–5.24
9.18
5.57–12.78
4.62–13.74
81%
Total shots
17.49
13.56–21.41
12.47–22.50
9.84
6.28–13.41
5.32–14.37
27.33
19.84–34.82
17.79–36.87
92%
Shots in box
11.98
9.04–14.93
8.21–15.75
6.01
3.33–8.69
2.60–9.43
18.00
12.37–23.62
10.81–25.19
90%
Blocked shots
4.55
2.67–6.44
2.13–6.98
2.28
0.63–3.93
0.13–4.42
6.83
3.30–10.37
2.26–11.40
75%
14%
Corners
6.30
4.09–8.52
3.52–9.09
3.60
1.60–5.60
1.07–6.13
9.91
5.69–14.12
4.59–15.23
76%
15%
Possession %
62.11
55.32–68.90
53.65–70.57
38.23
31.44–45.01
29.77–46.68
—
91%
Passes
608
541–675
523–694
364
298–431
280–448
973
839–1106
803–1142
98%
Pass accuracy %
77.83
73.80–81.86
72.51–83.15
71.78
67.46–76.10
66.15–77.41
—
76%
20%
Fouls
11.28
8.44–14.11
7.68–14.87
12.36
9.42–15.31
8.67–16.06
23.64
17.86–29.42
16.35–30.93
37%
55%
Offsides
2.89
1.73–4.05
1.42–4.35
1.56
0.47–2.65
0.18–2.94
4.45
2.19–6.70
1.60–7.29
65%
16%
19%
Yellow cards
1.56
0.51–2.61
0.25–2.88
2.11
0.99–3.24
0.69–3.53
3.67
1.50–5.85
0.94–6.41
29%
21%
51%
Red cards
0.06
0.00–0.22
0.00–0.37
0.11
0.00–0.29
0.00–0.43
0.17
0.00–0.51
0.00–0.80
85%
GK saves
2.14
0.70–3.57
0.31–3.96
4.03
2.47–5.59
2.05–6.01
6.17
3.17–9.16
2.36–9.97
16%
71%

safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent

Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.