UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.310.963.27safe1.35–3.280.11–1.811.45–5.10safer1.09–3.530.00–2.040.97–5.58
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.623.319.93safe4.75–8.481.57–5.056.32–13.53safer4.27–8.971.10–5.525.37–14.49
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.758.7827.53safe14.83–22.685.21–12.3420.04–35.02safer13.74–23.774.25–13.3017.99–37.07
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.706.4719.17safe9.76–15.643.79–9.1513.55–24.79safer8.93–16.473.05–9.8911.98–26.36
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.602.327.93safe3.72–7.490.67–3.984.39–11.46safer3.18–8.030.18–4.473.36–12.50
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.253.0710.32safe5.03–9.461.07–5.076.11–14.53safer4.46–10.030.54–5.615.00–15.64
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.1236.41safe55.33–68.9129.63–43.20safer53.66–70.5827.96–44.87
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction6383791016safe571–705312–445883–1150safer552–723295–463847–1186
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction82.0573.44safe78.02–86.0869.12–77.76safer76.72–87.3767.81–79.07
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1910.8920.08safe6.35–12.037.94–13.8314.29–25.86safer5.60–12.787.19–14.5812.79–27.36
Offsides
17%
16%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.824.22safe0.24–2.561.73–3.921.97–6.47safer0.00–2.861.44–4.211.38–7.06
Yellow cards
24%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.903.12safe0.18–2.270.77–3.030.95–5.30safer0.00–2.540.48–3.320.39–5.86
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.264.286.53safe0.82–3.692.72–5.833.54–9.53safer0.43–4.082.30–6.262.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.31 1.35–3.28 1.09–3.53 | 0.96 0.11–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 3.27 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.62 4.75–8.48 4.27–8.97 | 3.31 1.57–5.05 1.10–5.52 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.75 14.83–22.68 13.74–23.77 | 8.78 5.21–12.34 4.25–13.30 | 27.53 20.04–35.02 17.99–37.07 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.70 9.76–15.64 8.93–16.47 | 6.47 3.79–9.15 3.05–9.89 | 19.17 13.55–24.79 11.98–26.36 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.60 3.72–7.49 3.18–8.03 | 2.32 0.67–3.98 0.18–4.47 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.25 5.03–9.46 4.46–10.03 | 3.07 1.07–5.07 0.54–5.61 | 10.32 6.11–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 88% |
| Possession % | 62.12 55.33–68.91 53.66–70.58 | 36.41 29.63–43.20 27.96–44.87 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 638 571–705 552–723 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 1016 883–1150 847–1186 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.05 78.02–86.08 76.72–87.37 | 73.44 69.12–77.76 67.81–79.07 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.19 6.35–12.03 5.60–12.78 | 10.89 7.94–13.83 7.19–14.58 | 20.08 14.29–25.86 12.79–27.36 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.82 1.73–3.92 1.44–4.21 | 4.22 1.97–6.47 1.38–7.06 | 17% 16% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.18–2.27 0.00–2.54 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.12 0.95–5.30 0.39–5.86 | 24% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 4.28 2.72–5.83 2.30–6.26 | 6.53 3.54–9.53 2.73–10.34 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.